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Two useful strategies to speed up drug development are to increase the patient accrual rate and use novel adaptive designs. Unfortunately, these two strategies often conflict when the evaluation of the outcome cannot keep pace with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-24 Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

Experimental design has emerged as a powerful approach for improving the sample efficiency of A/B testing, yet existing designs rely critically on correctly specified models. We study robust sequential experimental design under model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Qianglin Wen , Xiangkun Wu , Chengchun Shi , Ting Li , Niansheng Tang , Yingying Zhang , Hongtu Zhu

Due to ethical and economical reasons, sequential single-arm trial designs are used for assessing the therapeutic efficacy of new treatments in phase II trials. Simon's 2-stage design and Lan-DeMets' $\alpha$-spending function method with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-31 Tasuku Inao , Isao Yokota

It is generally appreciated that a frequentist analysis of a group sequential trial must in order to avoid inflating type I error account for the fact that one or more interim analyses were performed. It is also to a lesser extent realised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Simon Bang Kristensen , Erik Thorlund Parner

The FDA's Project Optimus initiative emphasizes patient-centered dose selection in oncology that balances efficacy and safety. We develop a framework for randomized dose optimization studies that uses clinically interpretable utility scores…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Xuemin Gu , Cong Xu , Lei Xu , Ying Yu

Adaptive designs(AD) are a broad class of trial designs that allow preplanned modifications based on patient data providing improved efficiency and flexibility. However, a delay in observing the primary outcome variable can harm this added…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-26 Aritra Mukherjee , Michael J. Grayling , James M. S. Wason

We construct optimal designs for group testing experiments where the goal is to estimate the prevalence of a trait by using a test with uncertain sensitivity and specificity. Using optimal design theory for approximate designs, we show that…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-05 Shih-Hao Huang , Mong-Na Lo Huang , Kerby Shedden , Weng Kee Wong

The recently published ICH E9 addendum on estimands in clinical trials provides a framework for precisely defining the treatment effect that is to be estimated, but says little about estimation methods. Here we report analyses of a clinical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-25 Camila Olarte Parra , Rhian M. Daniel , David Wright , Jonathan W. Bartlett

Switchback experiments, where a firm sequentially exposes an experimental unit to random treatments, are among the most prevalent designs used in the technology sector, with applications ranging from ride-hailing platforms to online…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-18 Iavor Bojinov , David Simchi-Levi , Jinglong Zhao

A platform trial is an innovative clinical trial design that uses a master protocol to evaluate multiple treatments, where patients are often assigned to different subsets of treatment arms based on individual characteristics, enrollment…

Clinical trials usually involve sequential patient entry. When designing a clinical trial, it is often desirable to include a provision for interim analyses of accumulating data with the potential for stopping the trial early. We review…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-13 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

One common approach for dose optimization is a two-stage design, which initially conducts dose escalation to identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD), followed by a randomization stage where patients are assigned to two or more doses to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Yixuan Zhao , Rachael Liu , Jianchang Lin , Ying Yuan

Efficient simulation of SDEs is essential in many applications, particularly for ergodic systems that demand efficient simulation of both short-time dynamics and large-time statistics. However, locally Lipschitz SDEs often require special…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-02-26 Xingjie Li , Fei Lu , Felix X. -F. Ye

In many optimization domains, there are multiple different solvers that contribute to the overall state-of-the-art, each performing better on some, and worse on other types of problem instances. Meta-algorithmic approaches, such as…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-16 Lennart Schäpermeier

The win ratio is increasingly used in randomized trials due to its intuitive clinical interpretation, ability to incorporate the relative importance of composite endpoints, and its capacity for combining different types of outcomes (e.g.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Tracy Bergemann , Tim Hanson

In oncology, phase II or multiple expansion cohort trials are crucial for clinical development plans. This is because they aid in identifying potent agents with sufficient activity to continue development and confirm the proof of concept.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Takuya Yoshimoto , Satoru Shinoda , Kouji Yamamoto , Kouji Tahata

Adaptive sample size re-estimation (SSR) is a well-established strategy for improving the efficiency and flexibility of clinical trials. Its central challenge is determining whether, and by how much, to increase the sample size at an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Rui Jin , Cai Wu , Qiqi Deng

Accurate models of patient survival probabilities provide important information to clinicians prescribing care for life-threatening and terminal ailments. A recently developed class of models - known as individual survival distributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-27 Samuel Sokota , Ryan D'Orazio , Khurram Javed , Humza Haider , Russell Greiner

In Phase I/II dose-finding trials, the objective is to find the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD), a dose that is both safe and efficacious that maximises some optimality criterion based on safety and efficacy. This is further complicated when…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-31 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimitris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

Platform trials are randomized clinical trials that allow simultaneous comparison of multiple interventions, usually against a common control. Arms to test experimental interventions may enter and leave the platform over time. This implies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-12 Marta Bofill Roig , Ekkehard Glimm , Tobias Mielke , Martin Posch