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Understanding the causal interaction of time series variables can contribute to time series data analysis for many real-world applications, such as climate forecasting and extreme weather alerts. However, causal relationships are difficult…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-09 Dongqi Fu , Yada Zhu , Hanghang Tong , Kommy Weldemariam , Onkar Bhardwaj , Jingrui He

Going beyond correlations, the understanding and identification of causal relationships in observational time series, an important subfield of Causal Discovery, poses a major challenge. The lack of access to a well-defined ground truth for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Andrew R. Lawrence , Marcus Kaiser , Rui Sampaio , Maksim Sipos

A challenging problem when studying a dynamical system is to find the interdependencies among its individual components. Several algorithms have been proposed to detect directed dynamical influences between time series. Two of the most used…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-09-09 Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes , Giovanni Tessitore , Roberto Prevete , Daniele Marinazzo

We propose a definition of causality for time series in terms of the effect of an intervention in one component of a multivariate time series on another component at some later point in time. Conditions for identifiability, comparable to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-26 Michael Eichler , Vanessa Didelez

Learning spatial-temporal relation among multiple actors is crucial for group activity recognition. Different group activities often show the diversified interactions between actors in the video. Hence, it is often difficult to model…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-07 Mingfei Han , David Junhao Zhang , Yali Wang , Rui Yan , Lina Yao , Xiaojun Chang , Yu Qiao

Granger causality (GC), a popular statistical method for the inference of directional influences between time series measured from a complex network, is sensitive to high-order (non-pairwise) interactions which fundamentally shape the…

Research in action detection has grown in the recentyears, as it plays a key role in video understanding. Modelling the interactions (either spatial or temporal) between actors and their context has proven to be essential for this task.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-06-30 Manuel Sarmiento Calderó , David Varas , Elisenda Bou-Balust

Granger causality is among the widely used data-driven approaches for causal analysis of time series data with applications in various areas including economics, molecular biology, and neuroscience. Two of the main challenges of this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-19 Proloy Das , Behtash Babadi

Understanding directed temporal interactions in multivariate time series is essential for interpreting complex dynamical systems and the predictive models trained on them. We present Causal-INSIGHT, a model-agnostic, post-hoc interpretation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Benjamin Redden , Hui Wang , Shuyan Li

In this paper, we propose a new Granger causality measure which is robust against the confounding influence of latent common inputs. This measure is inspired by partial Granger causality in the literature, and its variant. Using numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Takashi Arai

Causality graphs are routinely estimated in social sciences, natural sciences, and engineering due to their capacity to efficiently represent the spatiotemporal structure of multivariate data sets in a format amenable for human…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-16 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Daniel Romero , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Many classical models of collective behavior assume that emergent dynamics result from external and observable interactions among individuals. However, how collective dynamics in human populations depend on the internal psychological…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-09-27 Alice C Schwarze , Mari Kawakatsu , Sarah Iams , Nina H Fefferman , Tahra L Eissa

In multiagent environments, several decision-making individuals interact while adhering to the dynamics constraints imposed by the environment. These interactions, combined with the potential stochasticity of the agents' decision-making…

Mobile health applications, including those that track activities such as exercise, sleep, and diet, are becoming widely used. Accurately predicting human actions is essential for targeted recommendations that could improve our health and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-02-27 Takeshi Kurashima , Tim Althoff , Jure Leskovec

Synchronizing decisions between running cases in business processes facilitates fair and efficient use of resources, helps prioritize the most valuable cases, and prevents unnecessary waiting. Consequently, decision synchronization patterns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-23 Tijmen Kuijpers , Karolin Winter , Remco Dijkman

There is a mismatch between psychological and computational studies on emotions. Psychological research aims at explaining and documenting internal mechanisms of these phenomena, while computational work often simplifies them into labels.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Enrica Troiano , Sofie Labat , Marco Antonio Stranisci , Viviana Patti , Rossana Damiano , Roman Klinger

We present an approach for flux analysis in process algebra models of biological systems. We perceive flux as the flow of resources in stochastic simulations. We resort to an established correspondence between event structures, a broadly…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2010-02-23 Ozan Kahramanoğullari

Causal interactions in time series networks can be dynamic and nonlinear, making it difficult to identify them using conventional linear causality estimations. We propose a novel approach, called Threshold Autoregressive Modeling for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Sipan Aslan , Hernando Ombao

Research into human dynamical systems has long sought to identify robust signals for human behavior. We have discovered a series of social network-based indicators that are reliable predictors of team creativity and collaborative…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-07-03 Peter A. Gloor , Adam Almozlino , Orr Inbar , Wei Lo , Shannon Provost

Granger causal inference is a contentious but widespread method used in fields ranging from economics to neuroscience. The original definition addresses the notion of causality in time series by establishing functional dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu