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We address the problem of monitoring a set of binary stochastic processes and generating an alert when the number of anomalies among them exceeds a threshold. For this, the decision-maker selects and probes a subset of the processes to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-19 Geethu Joseph , M. Cenk Gursoy , Pramod K. Varshney

How can we model influence between individuals in a social system, even when the network of interactions is unknown? In this article, we review the literature on the "influence model," which utilizes independent time series to estimate how…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2012-02-28 Wei Pan , Manuel Cebrian , Wen Dong , Taemie Kim , James Fowler , Alex Pentland

Human activity, which usually consists of several actions, generally covers interactions among persons and or objects. In particular, human actions involve certain spatial and temporal relationships, are the components of more complicated…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Zhenyu Liu , Yaqiang Yao , Yan Liu , Yuening Zhu , Zhenchao Tao , Lei Wang , Yuhong Feng

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Process mining methods allow analysts to use logs of historical executions of business processes in order to gain knowledge about the actual behavior of these processes. One of the most widely studied process mining operations is automated…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-06-11 Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Andrea Marrella , Fredrik Milani , Allar Soo , Silva Kasela

Team modeling remains a fundamental challenge at the intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Social Sciences. Although a variety of computational models have been proposed in the last two decades, most fail to integrate Social Sciences…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Vincenzo Marco De Luca , Giovanna Varni , Andrea Passerini

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) comprises an area of growing interest in the field of machine learning. Despite notable advances, there are still problems that require investigation. The lazy agent pathology is a famous problem in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Rafael Pina , Varuna De Silva , Corentin Artaud

Social science research increasingly benefits from statistical methods for understanding the structured nature of social life, including for social network data. However, the application of statistical network models within large-scale…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-02-05 Alex D. Stivala , H. Colin Gallagher , David A. Rolls , Peng Wang , Garry L. Robins

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

Business processes may face a variety of problems due to the number of tasks that need to be handled within short time periods, resources' workload and working patterns, as well as bottlenecks. These problems may arise locally and be…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Bianka Bakullari , Jules van Thoor , Dirk Fahland , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

In this paper, we place the atomic action detection problem into a Long-Short Term Context (LSTC) to analyze how the temporal reliance among video signals affect the action detection results. To do this, we decompose the action recognition…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-20 Yuxi Li , Boshen Zhang , Jian Li , Yabiao Wang , Weiyao Lin , Chengjie Wang , Jilin Li , Feiyue Huang

Process mining methods often analyze processes in terms of the individual end-to-end process runs. Process behavior, however, may materialize as a general state of many involved process components, which can not be captured by looking at…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2022-11-02 Bianka Bakullari , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Planned experiments are the gold standard in reliably comparing the causal effect of switching from a baseline policy to a new policy. One critical shortcoming of classical experimental methods, however, is that they typically do not take…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-07 Panagiotis , Toulis , David C. Parkes

Time series generation (TSG) synthesizes realistic sequences and has achieved remarkable success. Among TSG, conditional models generate sequences given observed covariates, however, such models learn observational correlations without…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yutong Xia , Chang Xu , Yuxuan Liang , Li Zhao , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Jiang Bian

This report outlines the use of a relational representation in a Multi-Agent domain to model the behaviour of the whole system. A desired property in this systems is the ability of the team members to work together to achieve a common goal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-11-01 Grazia Bombini , Raquel Ros , Stefano Ferilli , Ramon Lopez de Mantaras

Choices based on observational data depend on beliefs about which correlations reflect causality. An agent predicts the consequence of available actions using a dataset and her subjective beliefs about causality represented by a directed…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-21 Andrew Ellis , Heidi Christina Thysen

Deciding on an appropriate intervention requires a causal model of a treatment, the outcome, and potential mediators. Causal mediation analysis lets us distinguish between direct and indirect effects of the intervention, but has mostly been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-19 Çağlar Hızlı , ST John , Anne Juuti , Tuure Saarinen , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

Recent advances in neurosciences and psychology have provided evidence that affective phenomena pervade intelligence at many levels, being inseparable from the cognitionaction loop. Perception, attention, memory, learning, decisionmaking,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2008-09-30 Luis Paulo Reis , Daria Barteneva , Nuno Lau
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