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Learning causal structure among event types from discrete-time event sequences is a particularly important but challenging task. Existing methods, such as the multivariate Hawkes processes based methods, mostly boil down to learning the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-11 Jie Qiao , Ruichu Cai , Siyu Wu , Yu Xiang , Keli Zhang , Zhifeng Hao

Process mining focuses on the analysis of recorded event data in order to gain insights about the true execution of business processes. While foundational process mining techniques treat such data as sequences of abstract events, more…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Adrian Rebmann , Han van der Aa

In many settings, machine learning models may be used to inform decisions that impact individuals or entities who interact with the model. Such entities, or agents, may game model decisions by manipulating their inputs to the model to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-04 Trenton Chang , Lindsay Warrenburg , Sae-Hwan Park , Ravi B. Parikh , Maggie Makar , Jenna Wiens

Actor-Critic based approaches were among the first to address reinforcement learning in a general setting. Recently, these algorithms have gained renewed interest due to their generality, good convergence properties, and possible biological…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-09-17 D. Di Castro , R. Meir

Humans naturally follow distinct patterns when conducting their daily activities, which are driven by established practices and processes, such as production workflows, social norms and daily routines. Human activity recognition (HAR)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Jiawei Zheng , Petros Papapanagiotou , Jacques D. Fleuriot , Jane Hillston

There exist several approaches for estimating causal effects in time series when latent confounding is present. Many of these approaches rely on additional auxiliary observed variables or time series such as instruments, negative controls…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Tom Hochsprung , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus

In this paper, we analyze the applicability of the Causal Identification algorithm to causal time series graphs with latent confounders. Since these graphs extend over infinitely many time steps, deciding whether causal effects across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-30 Erik Jahn , Karthik Karnik , Leonard J. Schulman

This article emphasizes that NLP as a science seeks to make inferences about the performance effects that result from applying one method (compared to another method) in the processing of natural language. Yet NLP research in practice…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Sandra Wankmüller

Beyond possessing large enough size to feed data hungry machines (eg, transformers), what attributes measure the quality of a dataset? Assuming that the definitions of such attributes do exist, how do we quantify among their relative…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-19 Rajat Modi , Aayush Jung Rana , Akash Kumar , Praveen Tirupattur , Shruti Vyas , Yogesh Singh Rawat , Mubarak Shah

Causal discovery problems use a set of observations to deduce causality between variables in the real world, typically to answer questions about biological or physical systems. These observations are often recorded at regular time…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-24 Kurt Butler , Damian Machlanski , Panagiotis Dimitrakopoulos , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

Business process simulation (BPS) is a versatile technique for estimating process performance across various scenarios. Traditionally, BPS approaches employ a control-flow-first perspective by enriching a process model with simulation…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2024-08-19 Lukas Kirchdorfer , Robert Blümel , Timotheus Kampik , Han van der Aa , Heiner Stuckenschmidt

Dependence between nodes in a network is an important concept that pervades many areas including finance, politics, sociology, genomics and the brain sciences. One way to characterize dependence between components of a multivariate time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-08 Malik Shahid Sultan , Samuel Horvath , Hernando Ombao

This paper indicates causality as the tool that unifies the analysis of both activations and connectivity of brain areas, obtained with fMRI data. Causality analysis is commonly applied to study connectivity, so this work focuses on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-02-25 Nevio Dubbini

In many predictive decision-making scenarios, such as credit scoring and academic testing, a decision-maker must construct a model that accounts for agents' propensity to "game" the decision rule by changing their features so as to receive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-26 Yonadav Shavit , Benjamin Edelman , Brian Axelrod

Complex systems have interested researchers across a broad range of fields for many years and as computing has become more accesible and feasible, it is now possible to simulate aspects of these systems. A major point of research is how…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 George Hassan-Coring

In this study, a temporal graph model is designed to model the behavior of collective sports teams based on the networks of player interactions. The main motivation for the model is to integrate the temporal dimension into the analysis of…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2024-04-03 Quentin Bourgeais , Eric Sanlaville , Rodolphe Charrier , Ludovic Seifert

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

The understanding of visual analytics process can benefit visualization researchers from multiple aspects, including improving visual designs and developing advanced interaction functions. However, the log files of user behaviors are still…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Zekun Wu , Shahin Doroudian , Aidong Lu

Learning the influence structure of multiple time series data is of great interest to many disciplines. This paper studies the problem of recovering the causal structure in network of multivariate linear Hawkes processes. In such processes,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-15 Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang , Kushagra Singhal

Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-13 Stefan Haufe , Guido Nolte , Klaus-Robert Mueller , Nicole Kraemer