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In machine learning models, the estimation of errors is often complex due to distribution bias, particularly in spatial data such as those found in environmental studies. We introduce an approach based on the ideas of importance sampling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Boris Prokhorov , Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

A common goal in observational research is to estimate marginal causal effects in the presence of confounding variables. One solution to this problem is to use the covariate distribution to weight the outcomes such that the data appear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-18 Kevin P. Josey , Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

Scholars frequently use covariate balance tests to test the validity of natural experiments and related designs. Unfortunately, when measured covariates are unrelated to potential outcomes, balance is uninformative about key identification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Clara Bicalho , Adam Bouyamourn , Thad Dunning

Weighting estimators based on propensity scores are widely used for causal estimation in a variety of contexts, such as observational studies, marginal structural models and interference. They enjoy appealing theoretical properties such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-06 Linbo Wang , Yuexia Zhang , Thomas S. Richardson , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Generalizing causal estimates in randomized experiments to a broader target population is essential for guiding decisions by policymakers and practitioners in the social and biomedical sciences. While recent papers developed various…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-03 Melody Huang , Naoki Egami , Erin Hartman , Luke Miratrix

We address the challenge of conducting inference for a categorical treatment effect related to a binary outcome variable while taking into account high-dimensional baseline covariates. The conventional technique used to establish…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Abhishek Ojha , Naveen N. Narisetty

With multiple outcomes in empirical research, a common strategy is to define a composite outcome as a weighted average of the original outcomes. However, the choices of weights are often subjective and can be controversial. We propose an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-17 Wei Zhang , Qizhai Li , Peng Ding

There are many settings where researchers are interested in estimating average treatment effects and are willing to rely on the unconfoundedness assumption, which requires that the treatment assignment be as good as random conditional on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-02 Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Stefan Wager

A key challenge in environmental health research is unmeasured spatial confounding, driven by unobserved spatially structured variables that influence both treatment and outcome. A common approach is to fit a spatial regression that models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Sophie M. Woodward , Francesca Dominici , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Estimating causal effects from observational data is a central problem in many domains. A general approach is to balance covariates with weights such that the distribution of the data mimics randomization. We present generalized balancing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-02 Yoshiaki Kitazawa

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for measuring causal effects. However, they are often not always feasible, and causal treatment effects must be estimated from observational data. Observational studies do not allow robust…

Imputing missing values is an important preprocessing step in data analysis, but the literature offers little guidance on how to choose between different imputation models. This letter suggests adopting the imputation model that generates a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Moritz Marbach

Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Toshi A. Furukawa

Difference in proportions is frequently used to measure treatment effect for binary outcomes in randomized clinical trials. The estimation of difference in proportions can be assisted by adjusting for prognostic baseline covariates to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-31 Jialuo Liu , Dong Xi

Covariate adjustment can improve precision in analyzing randomized experiments. With fully observed data, regression adjustment and propensity score weighting are asymptotically equivalent in improving efficiency over unadjusted analysis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-06 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding , Fan Li

Estimating causal effects from observational data is challenging due to selection bias, which leads to imbalanced covariate distributions across treatment groups. Propensity score-based weighting methods are widely used to address this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Ahmad Saeed Khan , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes Andreas Stork

Negative binomial regression is commonly employed to analyze overdispersed count data. With small to moderate sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator of the dispersion parameter may be subject to a significant bias, that in turn…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-06 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

The challenge of Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization poses a foundational concern for the application of machine learning algorithms to risk-sensitive areas. Inspired by traditional importance weighting and propensity weighting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Han Yu , Yue He , Renzhe Xu , Dongbai Li , Jiayin Zhang , Wenchao Zou , Peng Cui

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov