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IV regression in the context of a re-sampling is considered in the work. Comparatively, the contribution in the development is a structural identification in the IV model. The work also contains a multiplier-bootstrap justification.

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Andzhey Koziuk , Vladimir Spokoiny

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

Instrumental variable regression is a foundational tool for causal analysis across the social and biomedical sciences. Recent advances use kernel methods to estimate nonparametric causal relationships, with general data types, while…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Marvin Lob , Rahul Singh , Suhas Vijaykumar

Many policy evaluations using instrumental variable (IV) methods include individuals who interact with each other, potentially violating the standard IV assumptions. This paper defines and partially identifies direct and spillover effects…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-17 Didier Nibbering , Matthijs Oosterveen

Imitation learning from demonstrations usually suffers from the confounding effects of unmeasured variables (i.e., unmeasured confounders) on the states and actions. If ignoring them, a biased estimation of the policy would be entailed. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Yan Zeng , Shenglan Nie , Feng Xie , Libo Huang , Peng Wu , Zhi Geng

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

A major challenge in instrumental variables (IV) analysis is to find instruments that are valid, or have no direct effect on the outcome and are ignorable. Typically one is unsure whether all of the putative IVs are in fact valid. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-10 Zijian Guo , Hyunseung Kang , T. Tony Cai , Dylan S. Small

This paper studies the cumulative causal effects of sequential treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders. It is a critical issue in sequential decision-making scenarios where treatment decisions and outcomes dynamically evolve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-15 Yingrong Wang , Anpeng Wu , Baohong Li , Ziyang Xiao , Ruoxuan Xiong , Qing Han , Kun Kuang

Instrumental variable methods are often used for parameter estimation in the presence of confounding. They can also be applied in stochastic processes. Instrumental variable analysis exploits moment equations to obtain estimators for causal…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-22 Søren Wengel Mogensen

Causal inference from observational data requires assumptions. These assumptions range from measuring confounders to identifying instruments. Traditionally, causal inference assumptions have focused on estimation of effects for a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-04 Rajesh Ranganath , Adler Perotte

Mendelian randomization (MR) has become an essential tool for causal inference in biomedical and public health research. By using genetic variants as instrumental variables, MR helps address unmeasured confounding and reverse causation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Minhao Yao , Anqi Wang , Xihao Li , Zhonghua Liu

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is a cornerstone of causal inference, yet extending it to functional outcomes is not a routine scalar generalization; rather, it entails three fundamental challenges in identification, inference, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Junzhu Nie , Chengxiu Ling , Mengfei Ran

Counterfactual inference aims to answer retrospective "what if" questions and thus belongs to the most fine-grained type of inference in Pearl's causality ladder. Existing methods for counterfactual inference with continuous outcomes aim at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-12 Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

Instrumental variable (IV) and proximal causal learning (Proxy) methods are central frameworks for causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding. Despite substantial methodological advances, existing approaches rarely provide…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Yuqi Zhang , Krikamol Muandet , Dino Sejdinovic , Edwin Fong , Siu Lun Chau

Interpretability research takes counterfactual theories of causality for granted. Most causal methods rely on counterfactual interventions to inputs or the activations of particular model components, followed by observations of the change…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Aaron Mueller

Mendelian randomization (MR) is widely used to uncover causal relationships in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However, most existing MR methods presuppose linear causality, risking bias when the true relationships are nonlinear,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Xinpei Wang , Tao Huang , Jinzhu Jia

We consider the task of counterfactual estimation from observational imaging data given a known causal structure. In particular, quantifying the causal effect of interventions for high-dimensional data with neural networks remains an open…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Pedro Sanchez , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

We introduce new inference procedures for counterfactual and synthetic control methods for policy evaluation. We recast the causal inference problem as a counterfactual prediction and a structural breaks testing problem. This allows us to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Causal inference is central to many areas of artificial intelligence, including complex reasoning, planning, knowledge-base construction, robotics, explanation, and fairness. An active community of researchers develops and enhances…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Amanda Gentzel , Dan Garant , David Jensen