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Although randomized experiments are widely regarded as the gold standard for estimating causal effects, missing data of the pretreatment covariates makes it challenging to estimate the subgroup causal effects. When the missing data…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-08 Peng Ding , Zhi Geng

Contrasting marginal counterfactual survival curves across treatment arms is an effective and popular approach for inferring the causal effect of an intervention on a right-censored time-to-event outcome. A key challenge to drawing such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Andrew Ying , Yifan Cui , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We discuss the fundamental issue of identification in linear instrumental variable (IV) models with unknown IV validity. With the assumption of the "sparsest rule", which is equivalent to the plurality rule but becomes operational in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Yiqi Lin , Frank Windmeijer , Xinyuan Song , Qingliang Fan

The instrumental variable method consistently estimates the effect of a treatment when there is unmeasured confounding and a valid instrumental variable. A valid instrumental variable is a variable that is independent of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-03 Zijian Guo , Dylan Small

We consider the problem of causal inference based on observational data (or the related missing data problem) with a binary or discrete treatment variable. In that context, we study inference for the counterfactual density functions and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-13 Daeyoung Ham , Ted Westling , Charles R. Doss

Causal inference quantifies cause-effect relationships by estimating counterfactual parameters from data. This entails using \emph{identification theory} to establish a link between counterfactual parameters of interest and distributions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-17 Jaron J. R. Lee , Ilya Shpitser

Many causal estimands are only partially identifiable since they depend on the unobservable joint distribution between potential outcomes. Stratification on pretreatment covariates can yield sharper bounds; however, unless the covariates…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-19 Wenlong Ji , Lihua Lei , Asher Spector

This paper proposes a novel identification strategy relying on quasi-instrumental variables (quasi-IVs). A quasi-IV is a relevant but possibly invalid IV because it is not exogenous or not excluded. We show that a variety of models with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-23 Christophe Bruneel-Zupanc , Jad Beyhum

Querying causal effects from time-series data is important across various fields, including healthcare, economics, climate science, and epidemiology. However, this task becomes complex in the existence of time-varying latent confounders,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc duy Le , Xudong Guo , Shichao Zhang

In the context of having an instrumental variable, the standard practice in causal inference begins by targeting an effect of interest and proceeds by formulating assumptions enabling its identification. We turn this around by adhering to…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-25 Carlos García Meixide , Mark J. van der Laan

The internal validity of observational study is often subject to debate. In this study, we define the counterfactuals as the unobserved sample and intend to quantify its relationship with the null hypothesis statistical testing (NHST). We…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-21 Tenglong Li , Kenneth A. Frank

Traditional instrumental variable (IV) methods often struggle with weak or invalid instruments and rely heavily on external data. We introduce a Synthetic Instrumental Variable (SIV) approach that constructs valid instruments using only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Ratbek Dzhumashev , Ainura Tursunalieva

Functional data analysis, which handles data arising from curves, surfaces, volumes, manifolds and beyond in a variety of scientific fields, is a rapidly developing area in modern statistics and data science in the recent decades. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-21 Xiaoke Zhang , Wu Xue , Qiyue Wang

This paper introduces an innovative Bayesian machine learning algorithm to draw interpretable inference on heterogeneous causal effects in the presence of imperfect compliance (e.g., under an irregular assignment mechanism). We show,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Kristof De-Witte , Giorgio Gnecco

In this expository paper, we consider the problem of causal inference and efficient estimation for the counterfactual survivor function. This problem has previously been considered in the literature in several papers, each relying on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Benjamin R. Baer , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Instrumental variables are widely used to deal with unmeasured confounding in observational studies and imperfect randomized controlled trials. In these studies, researchers often target the so-called local average treatment effect as it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-24 Linbo Wang , Yuexia Zhang , Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins

OC-DeepIV is a neural network model designed for estimating causal effects. It characterizes heterogeneity by adding interaction features and reduces redundancy through orthogonal constraints. The model includes two feature extractors, one…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-04 Shunxin Yao

Causal discovery and causal effect estimation are two fundamental tasks in causal inference. While many methods have been developed for each task individually, statistical challenges arise when applying these methods jointly: estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-21 Paula Gradu , Tijana Zrnic , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

We present methods for causally interpretable meta-analyses that combine information from multiple randomized trials to estimate potential (counterfactual) outcome means and average treatment effects in a target population. We consider…

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