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Electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to reduce grid stress through smart charging strategies while simultaneously meeting user demand. This requires accurate forecasts of key charging parameters, such as energy demand and connection…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-26 Parnian Alikhani , Nico Brinkel , Wouter Schram , Ioannis Lampropoulos , Wilfried van Sark

This study proposes a novel framework for long-term electricity demand prediction based solely on historical consumption data, without relying on external variables such as temperature or economic indicators. The method combines…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Toma Masaki , Kanta Tachibana

This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-23 Xin Shi

Accurate electric vehicle (EV) charging demand forecasting is essential for stable grid operation and proactive EV participation in electricity market. Existing forecasting methods, particularly those based on graph neural networks, are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Jinhao Li , Hao Wang

This paper aims to examine the use of sparse methods to forecast the real, in the chain-linked volume sense, expenditure components of the US and EU GDP in the short-run sooner than the national institutions of statistics officially release…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-29 Saulius Jokubaitis , Dmitrij Celov , Remigijus Leipus

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

A novel methodology for short-term energy forecasting using an Extreme Learning Machine ($\mathtt{ELM}$) is proposed. Using six years of hourly data collected in Corsica (France) from multiple energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, thermal,…

This paper addresses a central challenge of jointly considering shorter-term (e.g. hourly) and longer-term (e.g. yearly) uncertainties in power system planning with increasing penetration of renewable and storage resources. In conventional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-13 Chao Yan , Xinbo Geng , Zhaohong Bie , Le Xie

Load forecasting is crucial for multiple energy management tasks such as scheduling generation capacity, planning supply and demand, and minimizing energy trade costs. Such relevance has increased even more in recent years due to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-16 Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas , José A. Lozano

Supply chain resilience and efficiency are vital in industries characterized by volatile demand and uncertain supply, such as textiles and personal protective equipment (PPE). Traditional forecasting and optimization approaches often…

Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) networks have been used extensively for time series forecasting in recent years due to their ability of learning patterns over different periods of time. In this paper, this ability is applied to learning the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-30 Mayank Jain , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler , Soumyabrata Dev

Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

In power grids, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial as it contributes to the optimization of their reliability, emissions, and costs, while it enables the participation of energy companies in the energy market. STLF is a…

This work presents a hybrid and hierarchical deep learning model for mid-term load forecasting. The model combines exponential smoothing (ETS), advanced Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and ensembling. ETS extracts dynamically the main…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-02 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Slawek Smyl

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

In recent years, there has been a significant focus on advancing the next generation of power systems. Despite these efforts, persistent challenges revolve around addressing the operational impact of uncertainty on predicted data,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-15 Hien Thanh Doan , Minsoo Kim , Keunju Song , Hongseok Kim

Recent studies provide evidence that decomposing the electricity price into the long-term seasonal component (LTSC) and the remaining part, predicting both separately, and then combining their forecasts can bring significant accuracy gains…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-05 Katarzyna Chęć , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

Electric load is simultaneously affected across multiple time scales by exogenous factors such as weather and calendar rhythms, sudden events, and policies. Therefore, this paper proposes GRAFT (GRid-Aware Forecasting with Text), which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Fangzhou Lin , Guoshun He , Zhenyu Guo , Zhe Huang , Jinsong Tao

Accurate and reliable electricity load forecasts are becoming increasingly important as the share of intermittent resources in the system increases. Distribution System Operators (DSOs) are called to accurately forecast their production and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-11 Pål Forr Austnes , Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile , Mario Paolone