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In this paper, the process of forecasting household energy consumption is studied within the framework of the nonparametric Gaussian Process (GP), using multiple short time series data. As we begin to use smart meter data to paint a clearer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-12 Dilusha Weeraddana , Nguyen Lu Dang Khoa , Lachlan O Neil , Weihong Wang , Chen Cai

We propose a new forecasting method for predicting load demand and generation scheduling. Accurate week-long forecasting of load demand and optimal power generation is critical for efficient operation of power grid systems. In this work, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-10 Tong Ma , Renke Huang , David Barajas-Solano , Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

We study the classic fully dynamic load balancing problem on unrelated machines where jobs arrive and depart over time and the goal is minimizing the maximum load, or more generally the l_p-norm of the load vector. Previous work either…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Yossi Azar , Niv Buchbinder , Tomer Epshtein

The smart metering infrastructure has changed how electricity is measured in both residential and industrial application. The large amount of data collected by smart meter per day provides a huge potential for analytics to support the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-31 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

Short Term Load Forecast (STLF) is necessary for effective scheduling, operation optimization trading, and decision-making for electricity consumers. Modern and efficient machine learning methods are recalled nowadays to manage complicated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Junjie Hu , Brenda López Cabrera , Awdesch Melzer

We present an online stochastic model predictive control framework for demand charge management for a grid-connected consumer with attached electrical energy storage. The consumer we consider must satisfy an inflexible but stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-07 Benjamin Flamm , Guillermo Ramos , Annika Eichler , John Lygeros

Several research studies have shown that future sustainable electricity systems, mostly based on renewable generation and storage, are feasible with current technologies and costs. However, recent episodes of extreme weather conditions,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-26 Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Antonio Gomez-Exposito

There is an opportunity in modern power systems to explore the demand flexibility by incentivizing consumers with dynamic prices. In this paper, we quantify demand flexibility using an efficient tool called time-varying elasticity, whose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-03 Guangchun Ruan , Daniel S. Kirschen , Haiwang Zhong , Qing Xia , Chongqing Kang

Meter-level load forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management and power system planning for Smart Grids (SGs), in tasks associated with regulation, dispatching, scheduling, and unit commitment of power grids. Although a variety of…

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia

In this paper we formulate an optimization approach to schedule electrical loads given a short term prediction of time-varying power production and the ability to store only a limited amount of electrical energy. The proposed approach is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-15 Raymond A. de Callafon , Abdulelah H. Habib , Jan Kleissl

This paper addresses the critical challenge of estimating the reliability of an Electric Vehicle (EV) charging systems when facing risks such as overheating, unpredictable, weather, and cyberattacks. Traditional methods for predicting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Himanshu Tripathi , Subash Neupane , Shahram Rahimi , Noorbakhsh Amiri Golilarz , Sudip Mittal , Mohammad Sepehrifar

Accurate load prediction is an effective way to reduce power system operation costs. Traditionally, the mean square error (MSE) is a common-used loss function to guide the training of an accurate load forecasting model. However, the MSE…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-06 Jialun Zhang , Yi Wang , Gabriela Hug

Time series forecasting models have diverse real world applications (e.g., from electricity metrics to software workload). Latest foundational models trained for time series forecasting show strengths (e.g., for long sequences and in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Keun Soo Yim

The transition to Electric Vehicles (EV) in place of traditional internal combustion engines is increasing societal demand for electricity. The ability to integrate the additional demand from EV charging into forecasting electricity demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Raiden Skala , Mohamed Ahmed T. A. Elgalhud , Katarina Grolinger , Syed Mir

Anticipating supply chain disruptions before they materialize is a core challenge for firms and policymakers alike. A key difficulty is learning to reason reliably about infrequent, high-impact events from noisy and unstructured inputs - a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Benjamin Turtel , Paul Wilczewski , Kris Skotheim

In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

Lithium-ion batteries are becoming increasingly omnipresent in energy supply. However, the durability of energy storage using lithium-ion batteries is threatened by their dropping capacity with the growing number of charging/discharging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Hanbing Liu , Yanru Wu , Yang Li , Ercan E. Kuruoglu , Xuan Zhang

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the state of a linear time-invariant system in the presence of sporadically available measurements and external perturbations. An observer with a continuous intersample injection term is…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-11-06 Francesco Ferrante , Frédéric Gouaisbaut , Ricardo G. Sanfelice , Sophie Tarbouriech