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Future electricity distribution grids will host a considerable share of the renewable energy sources needed for enforcing the energy transition. Demand side management mechanisms play a key role in the integration of such renewable energy…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-04-16 José Horta , Eitan Altman , Mathieu Caujolle , Daniel Kofman , David Menga

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

Reliable uncertainty quantification is of critical importance in time series forecasting, yet traditional methods often rely on restrictive distributional assumptions. Conformal prediction (CP) has emerged as a promising distribution-free…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Andro Sabashvili

In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric end-to-end method for probabilistic forecasting of distributed renewable generation outputs while including missing data imputation. Firstly, we employ a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-02 Minghui Chen , Zichao Meng , Yanping Liu , Longbo Luo , Ye Guo , Kang Wang

Traditional centralized stability analysis struggles with scalability in large complex modern power grids. This two-part paper proposes a compositional and equilibrium-free approach to analyzing power system stability. In Part I, we prove…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-16 Peng Yang , Xiaoyu Peng , Xi Ru , Hua Geng , Feng Liu

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

We develop a time series model to forecast weekly peak power demand for three main states of Australia for a yearly time-scale, and show the crucial role of environmental factors in improving the forecasts. More precisely, we construct a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Ali Eshragh , Benjamin Ganim , Terry Perkins , Kasun Bandara

Meteorological factors (MF) are crucial in day-ahead load forecasting as they significantly influence the electricity consumption behaviors of consumers. Numerous studies have incorporated MF into the load forecasting model to achieve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Yangze Zhou , Guoxin Lin , Gonghao Zhang , Yi Wang

Battery energy storage systems can be used for peak demand reduction in power systems, leading to significant economic benefits. Two practical challenges are 1) accurately determining the peak load days and hours and 2) quantifying and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Tao Fu , Huifen Zhou , Xu Ma , Z. Jason Hou , Di Wu

The flexibility in electricity consumption and production in communities of residential buildings, including those with renewable energy sources and energy storage (a.k.a., prosumers), can effectively be utilized through the advancement of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Accurate rainfall forecasting, particularly for extreme events, remains a significant challenge in climatology and the Earth system. This paper presents novel physics-informed Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) combined with extreme-value…

To fully learn the latent temporal dependencies from post-disturbance system dynamic trajectories, deep learning is utilized for short-term voltage stability (STVS) assessment of power systems in this paper. First of all, a semi-supervised…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-25 Meng Zhang , Jiazheng Li , Yang Li , Runnan Xu

Electricity is a volatile power source that requires great planning and resource management for both short and long term. More specifically, in the short-term, accurate instant energy consumption forecasting contributes greatly to improve…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Nuno Oliveira , Norberto Sousa , Isabel Praça

We present the winning strategy of an electricity demand forecasting competition. This competition was organized to design new forecasting methods for unstable periods such as the one starting in Spring 2020. We rely on state-space models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-04 Joseph de Vilmarest , Yannig Goude

Time-series foundation models have emerged as a new paradigm for forecasting, yet their ability to effectively leverage exogenous features -- critical for electricity demand forecasting -- remains unclear. This paper empirically evaluates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Wei Soon Cheong , Lian Lian Jiang , Jamie Ng Suat Ling

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Load points are one of the most vital parts of power systems. Due to the new load forms and programs introduced in the demand side, the load-serving entities (LSEs) no longer deal with lump loads, but rather with more dynamic, rational and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-13 Ahmed S. Alahmed , Muhammed M. Almuhaini

We propose a forecasting technique based on multi-feature data fusion to enhance the accuracy of an electric vehicle (EV) charging station load forecasting deep-learning model. The proposed method uses multi-feature inputs based on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-01 Prince Aduama , Zhibo Zhang , Ameena S. Al Sumaiti

The demand of electricity keeps increasing in this modern society and the behavior of customers vary greatly from time to time, city to city, type to type, etc. Generally, buildings are classified into residential, commercial and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-08-11 Luo Chuan , Abhisek Ukil
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