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Machine learning can significantly improve performance for decision-making under uncertainty across a wide range of domains. However, ensuring robustness guarantees requires well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, which can be difficult to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Alan Wu , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

Supply chain management (SCM) has been recognized as an important discipline with applications to many industries, where the two-echelon stochastic inventory model, involving one downstream retailer and one upstream supplier, plays a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Mengxiao Zhang , Shi Chen , Haipeng Luo , Yingfei Wang

Accurately modeling the production of new ideas is crucial for innovation theory and endogenous growth models. This paper provides a comprehensive methodological survey of strategies for estimating idea production functions. We explore…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-20 Ege Erdil , Tamay Besiroglu , Anson Ho

In cases of uncertainty, a multi-class classifier preferably returns a set of candidate classes instead of predicting a single class label with little guarantee. More precisely, the classifier should strive for an optimal balance between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-28 Thomas Mortier , Marek Wydmuch , Krzysztof Dembczyński , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

In this paper, we address the task of setting up an optimal production plan taking into account an uncertain demand. The energy system is represented by a system of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) and the uncertain demand…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-13 Simone Göttlich , Oliver Kolb , Kerstin Lux

In this paper we study a continuous time stochastic inventory model for a commodity traded in the spot market and whose supply purchase is affected by price and demand uncertainty. A firm aims at meeting a random demand of the commodity at…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-06-12 Maria B. Chiarolla , Giorgio Ferrari , Gabriele Stabile

The assortment planning problem is a central piece in the revenue management strategy of any company in the retail industry. In this paper, we study a robust assortment optimization problem for substitutable products under a sequential…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-01 Saharnaz Mehrani , Jorge A. Sefair

We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control, and hence in the decision making process, could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes.…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-10-06 Ravi Kashyap

Globally operating suppliers face the rising challenge of wholesale pricing under scarce data about retail demand, in contrast to better informed, locally operating retailers. At the same time, as local businesses proliferate, markets…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-07-19 Costis Melolidakis , Stefanos Leonardos , Constandina Koki

This paper considers a stochastic production planning problem with regime switching. There are two regimes corresponding to different economic cycles. A factory is planning its production so as to minimize production costs. We analyze this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-01-26 Elena Cristina Canepa , Dragos-Patru Covei , Traian A. Pirvu

The presence of variable renewable energy resources with uncertain outputs in day-ahead electricity markets results in additional balancing needs in real-time. Addressing those needs cost-effectively and reliably within a competitive market…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-23 Elina Spyrou , Qiwei Zhang , Robin B. Hytowitz , Ben F. Hobbs , Siddharth Tyagi , Mengmeng Cai , Michael Blonsky

We consider data-driven inventory and pricing decisions in the feature-based newsvendor problem, where demand is influenced by both price and contextual features and is modeled without any structural assumptions. The unknown demand…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-14 Shijin Gong , Huihang Liu , Xinyu Zhang

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

综合物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

We study the warehouse problem, arising in the area of inventory management and production planning. Here, a merchant wants to decide an optimal trading policy that computes quantities of a single commodity to purchase, store and sell…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-01-22 Ishan Bansal , Oktay Günlük

A central problem in business concerns the optimal allocation of limited resources to a set of available tasks, where the payoff of these tasks is inherently uncertain. In credit card fraud detection, for instance, a bank can only assign a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Toon Vanderschueren , Bart Baesens , Tim Verdonck , Wouter Verbeke

We study the problem of forecasting the number of units fulfilled (or ``drained'') from each inventory warehouse to meet customer demand, along with the associated outbound shipping costs. The actual drain and shipping costs are determined…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-16 Riccardo Savorgnan , Udaya Ghai , Carson Eisenach , Dean Foster

Stochastic choice-based discrete planning is a broad class of decision-making problems characterized by a sequential decision-making process involving a planner and a group of customers. The firm or planner first decides a subset of options…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-20 Jiajie Zhang , Yun Hui Lin , Gerardo Berbeglia

Mathematical programming formulations of influence diagrams can bridge the gap between representing and solving decision problems. However, they suffer from both modeling and computational limitations. Aiming to address modeling…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-19 Olli Herrala , Tommi Ekholm , Fabricio Oliveira

This paper considers endogenous uncertainty (EnU) in the stochastic economic dispatch (SED) problem, where the endogenous uncertainty means decision dependent uncertainty. In this problem, demand response (DR) commitment is the source of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-01 Nasrin Bayat , Qifeng Li , Joon-Hyuk Park

We consider a strategic decision-making problem where a logistics provider (LP) seeks to locate collection and delivery points (CDPs) with the objective to reduce total logistics costs. The customers maximize utility that depends on their…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-09 David Pinzon Ulloa , Ammar Metnani , Emma Frejinger