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Deep learning applies hierarchical layers of hidden variables to construct nonlinear high dimensional predictors. Our goal is to develop and train deep learning architectures for spatio-temporal modeling. Training a deep architecture is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-08 Matthew F. Dixon , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim O. Sokolov

Learned optimizers -- neural networks that are trained to act as optimizers -- have the potential to dramatically accelerate training of machine learning models. However, even when meta-trained across thousands of tasks at huge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-23 James Harrison , Luke Metz , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

Simulating limit order books (LOBs) has important applications across forecasting and backtesting for financial market data. However, deep generative models struggle in this context due to the high noise and complexity of the data. Previous…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-09-08 Alfred Backhouse , Kang Li , Jakob Foerster , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren

Cryptocurrencies have transformed financial markets with their innovative blockchain technology and volatile price movements, presenting both challenges and opportunities for predictive analytics. Ethereum, being one of the leading…

In this paper, we conduct a systematic large-scale analysis of order book-driven predictability in high-frequency returns by leveraging deep learning techniques. First, we introduce a new and robust representation of the order book, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-10 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko Pakkanen , Almut Veraart

This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Bitcoin, as one of the most popular cryptocurrency, is recently attracting much attention of investors. Bitcoin price prediction task is consequently a rising academic topic for providing valuable insights and suggestions. Existing bitcoin…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-25 Xiao Li , Weili Wu

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

Trade-based manipulation (TBM) undermines the fairness and stability of financial markets drastically. Spoofing, one of the most covert and deceptive TBM strategies, exhibits complex anomaly patterns across multilevel prices, while often…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-13 Yushi Lin , Peng Yang

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

We showcase how dropout variational inference can be applied to a large-scale deep learning model that predicts price movements from limit order books (LOBs), the canonical data source representing trading and pricing movements. We…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

This study investigates the impact of data source diversity on the performance of cryptocurrency forecasting models by integrating various data categories, including technical indicators, on-chain metrics, sentiment and interest metrics,…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-16 Giorgos Demosthenous , Chryssis Georgiou , Eliada Polydorou

Cryptocurrency blockchains, beyond their primary role as distributed payment systems, are increasingly used to store and share arbitrary content, such as text messages and files. Although often non-financial, this hidden content can impact…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-21 Charalampos Kleitsikas , Nikolaos Korfiatis , Stefanos Leonardos , Carmine Ventre

Cryptocurrencies are widely used, yet current methods for analyzing transactions often rely on opaque, black-box models. While these models may achieve high performance, their outputs are usually difficult to interpret and adapt, making it…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-09-05 Yuchen Lei , Yuexin Xiang , Qin Wang , Rafael Dowsley , Tsz Hon Yuen , Kim-Kwang Raymond Choo , Jiangshan Yu

Bitcoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that is gaining more popularity in recent years. Previous studies have shown that closing price alone is not enough to forecast stock market series. We introduce a new set of time series and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Stefano Sossi-Rojas , Gissel Velarde , Damian Zieba

Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-04-09 Laura Alessandretti , Abeer ElBahrawy , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli

Preprocessing pipelines in deep learning aim to provide sufficient data throughput to keep the training processes busy. Maximizing resource utilization is becoming more challenging as the throughput of training processes increases with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-28 Alexander Isenko , Ruben Mayer , Jeffrey Jedele , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

Microstructure evolution in matter is often modeled numerically using field or level-set solvers, mirroring the dual representation of spatiotemporal complexity in terms of pixel or voxel data, and geometrical forms in vector graphics.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-31 Yingjie Zhao , Zhiping Xu

This study examines the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis for Bitcoin using a feedforward neural network. Due to the increasing popularity of cryptocurrencies in recent years, the question has arisen, as to whether market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-16 Mike Kraehenbuehl , Joerg Osterrieder