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In this paper we consider classes of models that have been recently developed for quantitative finance that involve modelling a highly complex multivariate, multi-attribute stochastic process known as the Limit Order Book (LOB). The LOB is…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-04-23 Gareth W. Peters , Efstathios Panayi , Francois Septier

Algorithmic trading relies on extracting meaningful signals from diverse financial data sources, including candlestick charts, order statistics on put and canceled orders, traded volume data, limit order books, and news flow. While deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov

In this paper we propose a deep recurrent architecture for the probabilistic modelling of high-frequency market prices, important for the risk management of automated trading systems. Our proposed architecture incorporates probabilistic…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-06 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

This paper poses a few fundamental questions regarding the attributes of the volume profile of a Limit Order Books stochastic structure by taking into consideration aspects of intraday and interday statistical features, the impact of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-04-23 Kylie-Anne Richards , Gareth W. Peters , William Dunsmuir

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan

This paper presents a deep learning framework based on Long Short-term Memory Network(LSTM) that predicts price movement of cryptocurrencies from trade-by-trade data. The main focus of this study is on predicting short-term price changes in…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-16 Qi Zhao

Managing high-frequency data in a limit order book (LOB) is a complex task that often exceeds the capabilities of conventional time-series forecasting models. Accurately predicting the entire multi-level LOB, beyond just the mid-price, is…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-05 Jiwon Jung , Kiseop Lee

Digital currencies have become popular in the last decade due to their non-dependency and decentralized nature. The price of these currencies has seen a lot of fluctuations at times, which has increased the need for prediction. As their…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-24 Ramin Mousa , Meysam Afrookhteh , Hooman Khaloo , Amir Ali Bengari , Gholamreza Heidary

Cryptocurrency markets are experiencing rapid growth, but this expansion comes with significant challenges, particularly in predicting cryptocurrency prices for traders in the U.S. In this study, we explore how deep learning and machine…

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

When output token counts can be predicted at submission time (Gan et al., 2026), client-side scheduling against a black-box LLM API becomes semi-clairvoyant: decisions condition on coarse token priors even though the provider's internals…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Renzhong Yuan , Yijun Zeng , Xiaosong Gao , Linxi Yu , Haochun Liao , Han Wang

The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on…

The present work addresses theoretical and practical questions in the domain of Deep Learning for High Frequency Trading. State-of-the-art models such as Random models, Logistic Regressions, LSTMs, LSTMs equipped with an Attention mask,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-10-20 Antonio Briola , Jeremy Turiel , Tomaso Aste

This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

This paper offers a thorough examination of the univariate predictability in cryptocurrency time-series. By exploiting a combination of complexity measure and model predictions we explore the cryptocurrencies time-series forecasting task…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-14 Francesco Puoti , Fabrizio Pittorino , Manuel Roveri

We introduce novel approaches to cryptocurrency price forecasting, leveraging Machine Learning (ML) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques, with a focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum. By analysing news and social media content,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-28 Vincent Gurgul , Stefan Lessmann , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Limit Order Books (LOBs) serve as a mechanism for buyers and sellers to interact with each other in the financial markets. Modelling and simulating LOBs is quite often necessary for calibrating and fine-tuning the automated trading…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-03-04 Konark Jain , Nick Firoozye , Jonathan Kochems , Philip Treleaven

Pre-training on large-scale datasets and then fine-tuning on downstream tasks have become a standard practice in deep learning. However, pre-training data often contain label noise that may adversely affect the generalization of the model.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Hao Chen , Jindong Wang , Ankit Shah , Ran Tao , Hongxin Wei , Xing Xie , Masashi Sugiyama , Bhiksha Raj

In light of micro-scale inefficiencies induced by the high degree of fragmentation of the Bitcoin trading landscape, we utilize a granular data set comprised of orderbook and trades data from the most liquid Bitcoin markets, in order to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-08-24 Jakob Albers , Mihai Cucuringu , Sam Howison , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

There has been much interest in accurate cryptocurrency price forecast models by investors and researchers. Deep Learning models are prominent machine learning techniques that have transformed various fields and have shown potential for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Jingyang Wu , Xinyi Zhang , Fangyixuan Huang , Haochen Zhou , Rohtiash Chandra