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Traditional meta-analysis assumes that the effect sizes estimated in individual studies follow a Gaussian distribution. However, this distributional assumption is not always satisfied in practice, leading to potentially biased results. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Wei Liang , Haicheng Huang , Hongsheng Dai , Yinghui Wei

BACKGROUND: Random-effects meta-analysis is commonly performed by first deriving an estimate of the between-study variation, the heterogeneity, and subsequently using this as the basis for combining results, i.e., for estimating the effect,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-18 Christian Röver , Guido Knapp , Tim Friede

Estimating an individual treatment effect (ITE) is essential to personalized decision making. However, existing methods for estimating the ITE often rely on unconfoundedness, an assumption that is fundamentally untestable with observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Mingzhang Yin , Claudia Shi , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

When estimating treatment effects, the golden standard is to conduct a randomized experiment and then contrast outcomes associated with the treatment group and the control group. However, in many cases, randomized experiments are either…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Kevin Han

Statistical significance of both the original and the replication study is a commonly used criterion to assess replication attempts, also known as the two-trials rule in drug development. However, replication studies are sometimes conducted…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Leonhard Held , Samuel Pawel , Charlotte Micheloud

We propose a framework for testing the homogeneity of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across multiple experimental and observational studies. Our approach leverages multiple randomized trials to assess whether treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-25 Ana Armendariz , Martin Huber

This research was motivated by studying anti-drug antibody (ADA) formation and its potential impact on long-term benefit of a biologic treatment in a randomized controlled trial, in which ADA status was not only unobserved in the control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-13 Shengchun Kong , Dominik Heinzmann , Sabine Lauer , Tian Lu

We propose a model-free framework for sensitivity analysis of individual treatment effects (ITEs), building upon ideas from conformal inference. For any unit, our procedure reports the $\Gamma$-value, a number which quantifies the minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-26 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren , Emmanuel J. Candès

Existing weighting methods for treatment effect estimation are often built upon the idea of propensity scores or covariate balance. They usually impose strong assumptions on treatment assignment or outcome model to obtain unbiased…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Dongcheng Zhang , Kunpeng Zhang

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) tailors treatments to a patient's specific characteristics. However, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often underpowered to detect the treatment effect heterogeneity needed for reliable ITR…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Yuan Bian , Donglin Zeng , Hyun-Joon Yang , Leanne M. Williams , Yuanjia Wang

An aggregate data meta-analysis is a statistical method that pools the summary statistics of several selected studies to estimate the outcome of interest. When considering a continuous outcome, typically each study must report the same…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Sean McGrath , XiaoFei Zhao , Zhi Zhen Qin , Russell Steele , Andrea Benedetti

Permutation testing in linear models, where the number of nuisance coefficients is smaller than the sample size, is a well-studied topic. The common approach of such tests is to permute residuals after regressing on the nuisance covariates.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-09 Jesse Hemerik , Magne Thoresen , Livio Finos

In this article, we consider identification, estimation, and inference procedures for treatment effect parameters using Difference-in-Differences (DiD) with (i) multiple time periods, (ii) variation in treatment timing, and (iii) when the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-02 Brantly Callaway , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Difference-in-differences (DID) approaches are widely used for estimating causal effects with observational data before and after an intervention. DID traditionally estimates the average treatment effect among the treated after making a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Julia C. Thome , Andrew J. Spieker , Peter F. Rebeiro , Chun Li , Tong Li , Bryan E. Shepherd

We consider the identification of average treatment effects on the treated (ATT) in difference-in-differences (DiD) settings in the presence of endogenous sample selection. We first establish that the conventional DiD estimand generally…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-17 Gayani Rathnayake , Akanksha Negi , Otavio Bartalotti , Xueyan Zhao

Developing tools for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and individualized treatment effects has been an area of active research in recent years. While these tools have proven to be useful in many contexts, a concern when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Mahsa Ashouri , Nicholas C. Henderson

In confirmatory clinical trials, survival outcomes are frequently studied and interim analyses for efficacy and/or futility are often desirable. Methods such as the log rank test and Cox regression model are commonly used to compare…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-27 Peter Zhang , Brent Logan , Michael Martens

Network meta-analysis is an evidence synthesis method for comparing the effectiveness of multiple available treatments. To justify evidence synthesis, consistency is an important assumption; however, existing methods founded on statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Kotaro Sasaki , Hisashi Noma

Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity widely informs treatment decision making. At the moment, much emphasis is placed on the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect via flexible machine learning algorithms. While these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-07 Lihua Lei , Emmanuel J. Candès