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Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

We propose a non linear Langevin equation as a model for stock market fluctuations and crashes. This equation is based on an identification of the different processes influencing the demand and supply, and their mathematical transcription.…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Rama Cont

Cryptocurrencies have gained significant attention in recent years due to their decentralized nature and potential for financial innovation. Thus, the ability to accurately predict its price has become a subject of great interest for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-21 Arthur Emanuel de Oliveira Carosia

The literature provides strong evidence that stock prices can be predicted from past price data. Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used mathematical technique for dimensionality reduction and analysis of data by identifying a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-03-15 Mahsa Ghorbani , Edwin K. P. Chong

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

Several authors have noticed the signature of log-periodic oscillations prior to large stock market crashes [cond-mat/9509033, cond-mat/9510036, Vandewalle et al 1998]. Unfortunately good fits of the corresponding equation to stock market…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Hans-Christian v. Bothmer , Christian Meister

One of the most enticing research areas is the stock market, and projecting stock prices may help investors profit by making the best decisions at the correct time. Deep learning strategies have emerged as a critical technique in the field…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-26 Karan Pardeshi , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

Jump stochastic volatility models are central to financial econometrics for volatility forecasting, portfolio risk management, and derivatives pricing. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are computationally unfeasible for the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-01 Eric Jacquier , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-12 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Modeling and managing portfolio risk is perhaps the most important step to achieve growing and preserving investment performance. Within the modern portfolio construction framework that built on Markowitz's theory, the covariance matrix of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-10-28 Hengxu Lin , Dong Zhou , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-16 Han Gui

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

We analyse growth vulnerabilities in the US using quantile partial correlation regression, a selection-based machine-learning method that achieves model selection consistency under time series. We find that downside risk is primarily driven…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-03 Tobias Adrian , Hongqi Chen , Max-Sebastian Dovì , Ji Hyung Lee

Long term investment is one of the major investment strategies. However, calculating intrinsic value of some company and evaluating shares for long term investment is not easy, since analyst have to care about a large number of financial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-11 Nikola Milosevic

For the development of successful share trading strategies, forecasting the course of action of the stock market index is important. Effective prediction of closing stock prices could guarantee investors attractive benefits. Machine…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-16 Nazish Ashfaq , Zubair Nawaz , Muhammad Ilyas