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Gaussian graphical models have been used to study intrinsic dependence among several variables, but the Gaussianity assumption may be restrictive in many applications. A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

We study the calibration of Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions in the interpolation setting from a design-marginal perspective. Conditioning on the data and averaging over a design measure \mu, we formalize \mu-coverage for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

Standard present day large-scale structure (LSS) analyses make a major assumption in their Bayesian parameter inference --- that the likelihood has a Gaussian form. For summary statistics currently used in LSS, this assumption, even if the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-03-06 ChangHoon Hahn , Florian Beutler , Manodeep Sinha , Andreas Berlind , Shirley Ho , David W. Hogg

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

Multivariate distributions that allow for asymmetry and heavy tails are important building blocks in many econometric and statistical models. The Unified Skew-t (UST) is a promising choice because it is both scalable and allows for a high…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-19 Lin Deng , Michael Stanley Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

Sparse functional/longitudinal data have attracted widespread interest due to the prevalence of such data in social and life sciences. A prominent scenario where such data are routinely encountered are accelerated longitudinal studies,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-24 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

We present an algorithm to identify sparse dependence structure in continuous and non-Gaussian probability distributions, given a corresponding set of data. The conditional independence structure of an arbitrary distribution can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-07 Rebecca E. Morrison , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a popular variant of the Metropolis--Hastings scheme which allows us to sample asymptotically from a target probability density $\pi$, when we are only able to estimate an unnormalized version of $\pi$…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-20 George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

A new fractional non-homogeneous counting process has been introduced and developed using the Kilbas and Saigo three-parameter generalization of the Mittag-Leffler function. The probability distribution function of this process reproduces…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-01 Nick Laskin

We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of a log-concave probability density and its distribution and hazard function. Some general properties of these estimators are derived from two characterizations. It is shown that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-17 Lutz Duembgen , Kaspar Rufibach

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-09 Thomas Opitz

We introduce a novel perspective by linking ordered probabilistic choice to copula theory, a mathematical framework for modeling dependencies in multivariate distributions. Each representation of ordered probabilistic choice behavior can be…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-10 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Kemal Yildiz

For the extended skew-normal distribution, which represents an extension of the normal (or Gaussian) distribution, we focus on the properties of the log-likelihood function and derived quantities in the the bivariate case. Specifically, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-20 Stefano Franco , Adelchi Azzalini

Compressive isothermal turbulence is known to have a near lognormal density probability distribution function (PDF) with a width that scales with the sonic Mach number and nature of the turbulent driving (solenoidal vs compressive).…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2019-11-06 Philip Mocz , Blakesley Burkhart

The present paper is devoted to the relativistic statistical theory, introduced in Phys. Rev. E {\bf 66} (2002) 056125 and Phys. Rev. E {\bf 72} (2005) 036108, predicting the particle distribution function $p(E)= \exp_{\kappa}…

统计力学 · 物理学 2010-12-20 G. Kaniadakis

We discuss the use of Kaniadakis' $\kappa$-exponential in the construction of a statistical manifold modelled on Lebesgue spaces of real random variables. Some algebraic features of the deformed exponential models are considered. A chart is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-13 Giovanni Pistone

(Abridged) We discuss the probability distribution function (PDF) of column density resulting from density fields with lognormal PDFs, applicable to isothermal gas (e.g., probably molecular clouds). We suggest that a ``decorrelation…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-06 Enrique Vazquez-Semadeni , Nieves Garcia

Data irregularity in cancer genomics studies has been widely observed in the form of outliers and heavy-tailed distributions in the complex traits. In the past decade, robust variable selection methods have emerged as powerful alternatives…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-14 Yuwen Liu , Jie Ren , Shuangge Ma , Cen Wu

Overdispersed count data are modelled with likelihood and non-likelihood approaches. Likelihood approaches include the Poisson mixtures with three distributions, the gamma, the lognormal, and the inverse Gaussian distributions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-09-08 Stanley Xu , Gary Grunwald , Richard Jones