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Many frameworks exist to infer cause and effect relations in complex nonlinear systems but a complete theory is lacking. A new framework is presented that is fully nonlinear, provides a complete information theoretic disentanglement of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-12 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Michael DeCaria , Nachiketa Chakaborty , Manuel Pulido

An approach is proposed to determine structural shift in time-series assuming non-linear dependence of lagged values of dependent variable. Copulas are used to model non-linear dependence of time series components.

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-19 Henry Penikas

We propose a new nonparametric procedure for the detection and estimation of multiple structural breaks in the autocovariance function of a multivariate (second- order) piecewise stationary process, which also identifies the components of…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-06 Philip Preuß , Ruprecht Puchstein , Holger Dette

Over the last couple of decades, several copula based methods have been proposed in the literature to test for the independence among several random variables. But these existing tests are not invariant under monotone transformations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-15 Angshuman Roy , Anil Ghosh , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

We propose a new algorithmic framework for sequential hypothesis testing with i.i.d. data, which includes A/B testing, nonparametric two-sample testing, and independence testing as special cases. It is novel in several ways: (a) it takes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-03 Akshay Balsubramani , Aaditya Ramdas

We show how to estimate a model's test error from unlabeled data, on distributions very different from the training distribution, while assuming only that certain conditional independencies are preserved between train and test. We do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-17 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

Independence testing is a fundamental problem in statistical inference: given samples from a joint distribution $p$ over multiple random variables, the goal is to determine whether $p$ is a product distribution or is $\epsilon$-far from all…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Azizi , Ria Stevens

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

A crucial assumption to reduce computational complexity in spatial-temporal data analysis is separability, which factors the covariance structure into a purely spatial and a purely temporal component. In this paper, we develop statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-30 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Zihao Yuan

The aim of this thesis is to find a solution to the non-parametric independence problem in separable metric spaces. Suppose we are given finite collection of samples from an i.i.d. sequence of paired random elements, where each marginal has…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-13 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Identifying dependency in multivariate data is a common inference task that arises in numerous applications. However, existing nonparametric independence tests typically require computation that scales at least quadratically with the sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-08 Shai Gorsky , Li Ma

It is commonplace to encounter nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process may change over time or across domains. The nonstationarity presents both challenges and opportunities for causal discovery. In this paper we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang , Jiji Zhang , Bernhard Schölkopf , Clark Glymour

We describe a family of conservative statistical tests for independence of two autocorrelated time series. The series may take values in any sets, and one of them must be stationary. A user-specified function quantifying the association of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Kenneth D. Harris

Nonlinear independent component analysis (ICA) aims to recover the underlying independent latent sources from their observable nonlinear mixtures. How to make the nonlinear ICA model identifiable up to certain trivial indeterminacies is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Kun Zhang

We consider a nonparametric regression model with continuous endogenous independent variables when only discrete instruments are available that are independent of the error term. Although this framework is very relevant for applied…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-18 Samuele Centorrino , Frédérique Fève , Jean-Pierre Florens

Different disciplines pursue the aim to develop models which characterize certain phenomena as accurately as possible. Climatology is a prime example, where the temporal evolution of the climate is modeled. In order to compare and improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-03 T. M. Erhardt , C. Czado , T. L. Thorarinsdottir

Multivariate time series analysis is extensively used in neurophysiology with the aim of studying the relationship between simultaneously recorded signals. Recently, advances on information theory and nonlinear dynamical systems theory have…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ernesto Pereda , Rodrigo Quian Quiroga , Joydeep Bhattacharya

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

In broad applications, it is routinely of interest to assess whether there is evidence in the data to refute the assumption of conditional independence of $Y$ and $X$ conditionally on $Z$. Such tests are well developed in parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , David B. Dunson

We consider testing whether a set of Gaussian variables, selected from the data, is independent of the remaining variables. We assume that this set is selected via a very simple approach that is commonly used across scientific disciplines:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-04 Arkajyoti Saha , Daniela Witten , Jacob Bien