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相关论文: A Machine Learning Approach For Bitcoin Forecastin…

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This work is organized as follows. In the first section we review the prior work and we have obtained our data. Next, we will look at address reuse in the Bitcoin network. We show that a great portion of users reuse their addresses which…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-04-24 Mohammad Sadegh Ebrahimi , Afshin Babveyh

Time series prediction aims to predict future values to help stakeholders make proper strategic decisions. This problem is relevant in all industries and areas, ranging from financial data to demand to forecast. However, it remains…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-09 Aleksandr Pletnev , Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Evgeny Burnaev

This research explores a relatively unexplored area of predicting cryptocurrency staking rewards, offering potential insights to researchers and investors. We investigate two predictive methodologies: a) a straightforward sliding-window…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-23 Sauren Gupta , Apoorva Hathi Katharaki , Yifan Xu , Bhaskar Krishnamachari , Rajarshi Gupta

Forecasts of various processes have always been a sophisticated problem for statistics and data science. Over the past decades the solution procedures were updated by deep learning and kernel methods. According to many specialists, these…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Igor Mackarov

Directional forecasting in financial markets requires both accuracy and interpretability. Before the advent of deep learning, interpretable approaches based on human-defined patterns were prevalent, but their structural vagueness and scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-19 Juwon Kim , Hyunwook Lee , Hyotaek Jeon , Seungmin Jin , Sungahn Ko

Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, in particular, are prone to wild swings resulting in frequent jumps in prices, making them historically popular for traders to speculate. A better understanding of these fluctuations can greatly benefit crypto…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-17 Edson Pindza , Jules Clement Mba , Sutene Mwambi , Nneka Umeorah

According to the advent of cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, many investments and businesses are now conducted online through cryptocurrencies. Among them, Bitcoin uses blockchain technology to make transactions secure, transparent, traceable,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Milad Asadpour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati

Machine learning has been used in all kinds of fields. In this article, we introduce how machine learning can be applied into time series problem. Especially, we use the airline ticket prediction problem as our specific problem. Airline…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-06 Jun Lu

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

Financial firms are interested in simulation to discover whether a given algorithm involving financial machine learning will operate profitably. While many versions of this type of algorithm have been published recently by researchers, the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Mark Joseph Bennett

The possibility to analyze everyday monetary transactions is limited by the scarcity of available data, as this kind of information is usually considered highly sensitive. Present econophysics models are usually employed on presumed random…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-04-01 Dániel Kondor , Márton Pósfai , István Csabai , Gábor Vattay

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

Bitcoin has become the leading cryptocurrency system, but the limit on its transaction processing capacity has resulted in increased transaction fees and delayed transaction confirmation. As such, it is pertinent to understand and probably…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-06-21 Befekadu G. Gebraselase , Bjarne E. Helvik , Yuming Jiang

We show Bitcoin implied volatility on a 5 minute time horizon is modestly predictable from price, volatility momentum and alternative data including sentiment and engagement. Lagged Bitcoin index price and volatility movements contribute to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-30 Faizaan Pervaiz , Christopher Goh , Ashley Pennington , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-04 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Linda Schilling

Blockchain technology has changed how people think about how they used to store and trade their assets, as it introduced us to a whole new way to transact: using digital currencies. One of the major innovations of blockchain technology is…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Trang Tran

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Skye Gunasekaran , Assel Kembay , Hugo Ladret , Rui-Jie Zhu , Laurent Perrinet , Omid Kavehei , Jason Eshraghian

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Amit Kumar , Taoran Ji