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We introduce Robust Bayesian Sequential Borrowing (RBSB), a framework for extrapolating evidence across adjacent subgroups in multi-population clinical programmes where studies are conducted in sequence and populations are ordered by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Erik Hermansson , Lynn Dunsire , David Svensson , Thomas Jaki

We propose a novel approach to Bayesian analysis that is provably robust to outliers in the data and often has computational advantages over standard methods. Our technique is based on splitting the data into non-overlapping subgroups,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-03 Stanislav Minsker , Sanvesh Srivastava , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

We consider the design of a two-arm superiority cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) with a continuous outcome. We detail Bayesian inference for the analysis of the trial using a linear mixed-effects model. The treatment is compared to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-29 Kevin J Wilson

Consider a situation of analyzing high-dimensional count data containing an excess of near-zero counts with a small number of moderate or large counts. Assuming that the observations are modeled by a Poisson distribution, we are interested…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-27 Sayantan Paul , Arijit Chakrabarti

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

We propose a simple common framework for Risk-Limiting and Bayesian (polling) audits for two-candidate plurality elections. Using it, we derive an expression for the general Bayesian audit; in particular, we do not restrict the prior to a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-08-06 Poorvi L. Vora

Measurements are generally collected as unilateral or bilateral data in clinical trials or observational studies. For example, in ophthalmology studies, the primary outcome is often obtained from one eye or both eyes of an individual. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-01 Kejia Wang , Chang-Xing Ma

Randomized experiments play a major role in data-driven decision making across many different fields and disciplines. In medicine, for example, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the backbone of clinical trial methodology for testing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Andrew W. Correia

This work investigates the sequential hypothesis testing problem with online sensor selection and sensor usage constraints. That is, in a sensor network, the fusion center sequentially acquires samples by selecting one "most informative"…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-01-26 Shang Li , Xiaoou Li , Xiaodong Wang , Jingchen Liu

We consider planning longitudinal covariate measurements in follow-up studies where covariates are time-varying. We assume that the entire cohort cannot be selected for longitudinal measurements due to financial limitations and study how a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Jaakko Reinikainen , Juha Karvanen

In oncology, phase II studies are crucial for clinical development plans as such studies identify potent agents with sufficient activity to continue development in the subsequent phase III trials. Traditionally, phase II studies are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Takuya Yoshimoto , Satoru Shinoda , Kouji Yamamoto , Kouji Tahata

In this paper, we develop a simple approach for testing multiple statistical hypotheses based on the observations of a number of probability ratios enumerated consecutively with respect to the index of hypotheses. Explicit and tight bounds…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-19 Xinjia Chen

Suppose that at any stage of a statistical experiment a control variable $X$ that affects the distribution of the observed data $Y$ can be used. The distribution of $Y$ depends on some unknown parameter $\theta$, and we consider the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-05-05 Andrey Novikov

Sequential Bayesian experimental design typically assumes that the number of experiments is fixed before data collection begins. In practical campaigns, however, experimentation may need to terminate early because additional measurements…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Chen Cheng , Xun Huan

Our comment on Garc\'ia-Donato et al. (2025). "Model uncertainty and missing data: An objective Bayesian perspective" explores a further extension of the proposed methodology. Specifically, we consider the sequential setting where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-01 Sebastian Arnold , Alexander Ly

Toxicity monitoring is essential in Phase II clinical trials to ensure participant safety. While monitoring rules are well-established for single-arm trials, two-cohort trials present unique challenges because toxicities are expected to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Yu Wang , Aniko Szabo

We give a risk-averse solution to the problem of estimating the reliability of a parallel-series system. We adopt a beta-binomial model for components reliabilities, and assume that the total sample size for the experience is fixed. The…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-15 Zohra Benkamra , Mekki Terbeche , Mounir Tlemcani

A Bayesian multivariate model with a structured covariance matrix for multi-way nested data is proposed. This flexible modeling framework allows for positive and for negative associations among clustered observations, and generalizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Jean-Paul Fox

Robust decision making involves making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and is often used in critical domains such as healthcare, supply chains, and finance. Causality plays a crucial role in decision-making as it predicts the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Saideep Nannapaneni , Joseph Sakaya , Kyle Caron , Pedro HM Albuquerque , Zaid Tashman

Databases often contain corrupted, degraded, and noisy data with duplicate entries across and within each database. Such problems arise in citations, medical databases, genetics, human rights databases, and a variety of other applied…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-29 Rebecca C. Steorts