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Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

In this paper we introduce the well-balanced L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as a moving average process of the form $X_t=\int \exp(-\lambda |t-u|)dL_u$. In contrast to L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-08 Alexander Schnurr , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

Estimating model parameters is a crucial step in mathematical modelling and typically involves minimizing the disagreement between model predictions and experimental data. This calibration data can change throughout a study, particularly if…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-11-03 Tyler Cassidy

We consider the parametric estimation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process with the stable index $\alpha>1$ and possibly skewed jumps, based on a discrete-time sample over a fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

We consider statistical models driven by Gaussian and non-Gaussian self-similar processes with long memory and we construct maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for the drift parameter. Our approach is based on the approximation by random…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-12-19 Karine Bertin , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

This paper considers an extension of the multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution to matrix variate case. The symmetric Laplace distribution is a scale mixture of normal distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-18 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding of this trichotomy, we investigate…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-28 Bernard Bercu , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Savy

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a general one-dimensional centered Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. The second order mixed partial derivative of the covariance function $ R(t,\,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-25 Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

This paper introduces a new biased estimator for the negative binomial regression model that is a generalization of Liu-type estimator proposed for the linear model in [12]. Since the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-11 Yasin Asar

We develop a preference elicitation method for a Von Neumann-Morgenstern (VNM)-type decision-maker from pairwise comparison data in the presence of response errors. We apply the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method to jointly elicit…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-30 Bo Chen , Jia Liu

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have wide-ranging applications in machine learning, where they are used to enforce the notion of diversity in subset selection problems. Many estimators have been proposed, but surprisingly the basic…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-25 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet , John Urschel

The problem of estimating an unknown deterministic parameter vector from sign measurements with a perturbed sensing matrix is studied in this paper. We analyze the best achievable mean square error (MSE) performance by exploring the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-18 Jiang Zhu , Xiaohan Wang , Yuantao Gu

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

We use Stein characterisations to derive new moment-type estimators for the parameters of several truncated multivariate distributions in the i.i.d. case; we also derive the asymptotic properties of these estimators. Our examples include…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-18 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Yvik Swan

Interval-censored multi-state data arise in many studies of chronic diseases, where the health status of a subject can be characterized by a finite number of disease states and the transition between any two states is only known to occur…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-19 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , Gerardo Heiss , D. Y. Lin

Andresen and Spokoiny's (2013) ``critical dimension in semiparametric estimation`` provide a technique for the finite sample analysis of profile M-estimators. This paper uses very similar ideas to derive two convergence results for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-08 Andreas Andresen , Vladimir Spokoiny

A number of applications (e.g., AI bot tournaments, sports, peer grading, crowdsourcing) use pairwise comparison data and the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model to evaluate a given collection of items (e.g., bots, teams, students, search…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-12 Jingyan Wang , Nihar B. Shah , R. Ravi