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相关论文: Black Box Causal Inference: Effect Estimation via …

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Causal effect estimation has been studied by many researchers when only observational data is available. Sound and complete algorithms have been developed for pointwise estimation of identifiable causal queries. For non-identifiable causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 Ziwei Jiang , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu

Causal inference has recently gained notable attention across various fields like biology, healthcare, and environmental science, especially within explainable artificial intelligence (xAI) systems, for uncovering the causal relationships…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Xiaofeng Xiao , Khawlah Alharbi , Pengyu Zhang , Hantang Qin , Xubo Yue

Many methods have been proposed to estimate treatment effects with observational data. Often, the choice of the method considers the application's characteristics, such as type of treatment and outcome, confounding effect, and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-20 Raquel Aoki , Martin Ester

We consider the problem of estimating a causal effect in a multi-domain setting. The causal effect of interest is confounded by an unobserved confounder and can change between the different domains. We assume that we have access to a proxy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Manuel Iglesias-Alonso , Felix Schur , Julius von Kügelgen , Jonas Peters

Interpretability and transparency are essential for incorporating causal effect models from observational data into policy decision-making. They can provide trust for the model in the absence of ground truth labels to evaluate the accuracy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-01 Lucile Ter-Minassian , Liran Szlak , Ehud Karavani , Chris Holmes , Yishai Shimoni

The notion of causality assumes a paramount position within the realm of human cognition. Over the past few decades, there has been significant advancement in the domain of causal effect estimation across various disciplines, including but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Zongyu Li , Xiaobo Guo , Siwei Qiang

Causal inference methods have been applied in various fields where researchers want to estimate treatment effects. In traditional causal inference settings, one assumes that the outcome of a unit does not depend on treatments of other…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Kelly Kung , Daniel L. Sussman

Bayesian methods are particularly effective for addressing inverse problems due to their ability to manage uncertainties inherent in the inference process. However, employing these methods with costly forward models poses significant…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 G. Robalo Rei , C. P. Schmidt , J. Nitzler , M. Dinkel , W. A. Wall

Causal effect estimation from observational data is one of the essential problems in causal inference. However, most estimation methods rely on the strong assumption that all confounders are observed, which is impractical and untestable in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Yubai Yuan , Annie Qu

Accurate predictions, as with machine learning, may not suffice to provide optimal healthcare for every patient. Indeed, prediction can be driven by shortcuts in the data, such as racial biases. Causal thinking is needed for data-driven…

Estimating the causal effects of an intervention in the presence of confounding is a frequently occurring problem in applications such as medicine. The task is challenging since there may be multiple confounding factors, some of which may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Sonali Parbhoo , Mario Wieser , Volker Roth

To estimate causal effects, analysts performing observational studies in health settings utilize several strategies to mitigate bias due to confounding by indication. There are two broad classes of approaches for these purposes: use of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-01 Roy S. Zawadzki , Joshua D. Grill , Daniel L. Gillen

This paper introduces a simple framework of counterfactual estimation for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data, in which we estimate the average treatment effect on the treated by directly imputing counterfactual outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Licheng Liu , Ye Wang , Yiqing Xu

Simulation models, in particular agent-based models, are gaining popularity in economics. The considerable flexibility they offer, as well as their capacity to reproduce a variety of empirically observed behaviours of complex systems, give…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-20 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian Schmon

Causal inference is a science with multi-disciplinary evolution and applications. On the one hand, it measures effects of treatments in observational data based on experimental designs and rigorous statistical inference to draw causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Jingying Zeng , Run Wang

Learning about cause and effect is arguably the main goal in applied econometrics. In practice, the validity of these causal inferences is contingent on a number of critical assumptions regarding the type of data that has been collected and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-03 Paul Hünermund , Elias Bareinboim

When causal quantities cannot be point identified, researchers often pursue partial identification to quantify the range of possible values. However, the peculiarities of applied research conditions can make this analytically intractable.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-29 Guilherme Duarte , Noam Finkelstein , Dean Knox , Jonathan Mummolo , Ilya Shpitser

Instrumental variable approaches have gained popularity for estimating causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However, the availability of instrumental variables in the primary dataset is often challenged due to stringent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Kang Shuai , Shanshan Luo , Wei Li , Yangbo He

Causal inference has received great attention across different fields from economics, statistics, education, medicine, to machine learning. Within this area, inferring causal effects at individual level in observational studies has become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-16 Thai Pham

Black-box Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods, e.g. deep neural networks, have been widely utilized to build predictive models that can extract complex relationships in a dataset and make predictions for new unseen data records. However,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-22 Milad Moradi , Matthias Samwald