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We consider situations where consumers are aware that a statistical model determines the price of a product based on their observed behavior. Using a novel experiment varying the context similarity between participant data and a product, we…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-14 Inácio Bó , Li Chen , Rustamdjan Hakimov

As a firm varies the price of a product, consumers exhibit reference effects, making purchase decisions based not only on the prevailing price but also the product's price history. We consider the problem of learning such behavioral…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-31 Abbas Kazerouni , Benjamin Van Roy

Before purchase, a buyer of an experience good learns about the product's fit using various information sources, including some of which the seller may be unaware of. The buyer, however, can conclusively learn the fit only after purchasing…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Toomas Hinnosaar , Keiichi Kawai

Much like small ripples in a stream, which get lost in the larger waves, small changes in retail prices often fly under the radar of public perceptions, while large price changes appear as marketing moves associated with demand and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-03 Xiao Ling , Sourav Ray , Daniel Levy

Prices in financial markets exhibit extreme jumps far more often than can be accounted for by external news. Further, magnitudes of price changes are correlated over long times. These so called stylized facts are quantified by scaling laws…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-05-04 Felix Patzelt , Klaus Pawelzik

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

An informed seller designs a dynamic mechanism to sell an experience good. The seller has partial information about the product match, which affects the buyer's private consumption experience. We characterize equilibrium mechanisms of this…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-24 Tan Gan , Nicholas Wu

We present a graph-theoretic model of consumer choice, where final decisions are shown to be influenced by information and knowledge, in the form of individual awareness, discriminating ability, and perception of market structure. Building…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-02-17 A. E. Biondo , A. Giarlotta , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer's utility is additive in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Rob Donnelly , Francisco R. Ruiz , David Blei , Susan Athey

To determine the welfare implications of price changes in demand data, we introduce a revealed preference relation over prices. We show that the absence of cycles in this relation characterizes a consumer who trades off the utility of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-03 Rahul Deb , Yuichi Kitamura , John K. -H. Quah , Jörg Stoye

It is standard practice in online retail to run pricing experiments by randomizing at the article-level, i.e. by changing prices of different products to identify treatment effects. Due to customers' cross-price substitution behavior, such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-23 Lars Roemheld , Justin Rao

In many markets buyers are poorly informed about which firms sell the product (product availability) and prices, and therefore have to spend time to obtain this information. In contrast, sellers typically have a better idea about which…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-01 Atabek Atayev

We consider hundreds of thousands of individual economic transactions to ask: how predictable are consumers in their merchant visitation patterns? Our results suggest that, in the long-run, much of our seemingly elective activity is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-05-07 Coco Krumme , Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Cebrián , Alex , Pentland , Esteban Moro

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

The prevention of rapidly and steeply falling market prices is vital to avoid financial crisis. To this end, some stock exchanges implement a price limit or a circuit breaker, and there has been intensive investigation into which regulation…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-20 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi

Studies of micro-level price datasets find more frequent small price increases than decreases, which can be explained by consumer inattention because time-constrained shoppers might ignore small price changes. Recent empirical studies of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-27 Daniel Levy , Haipeng , Chen , Sourav Ray , Elliot Charette , Xiao Ling , Weihong Zhao , Mark Bergen , Avichai Snir

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

We modify the standard model of price competition with horizontally differentiated products, imperfect information, and search frictions by allowing consumers to flexibly acquire information about a product's match value during their…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-28 Vasudha Jain , Mark Whitmeyer

Inventory control with unknown demand distribution is considered, with emphasis placed on the case involving discrete nonperishable items. We focus on an adaptive policy which in every period uses, as much as possible, the optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-23 Michael N. Katehakis , Jian Yang , Tingting Zhou

Firms that price perishable resources -- airline seats, hotel rooms, seasonal inventory -- now routinely use demand predictions, but these predictions vary widely in quality. Under hard capacity constraints, acting on an inaccurate…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-27 Ruicheng Ao , Jiashuo Jiang , David Simchi-Levi
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