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High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for optimizing expensive black-box objectives, yet extending it to graph-structured domains remains challenging due to the discrete and combinatorial nature of graphs. Existing approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Shu Hong , Yongsheng Mei , Mahdi Imani , Tian Lan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely-used tools in spatial statistics and machine learning and the formulae for the mean function and covariance kernel of a GP $T u$ that is the image of another GP $u$ under a linear transformation $T$…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-08 Tadashi Matsumoto , T. J. Sullivan

Bayesian estimation of Gaussian graphical models has proven to be challenging because the conjugate prior distribution on the Gaussian precision matrix, the G-Wishart distribution, has a doubly intractable partition function. Recent…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2014-09-10 Max Hinne , Alex Lenkoski , Tom Heskes , Marcel van Gerven

Sparse high dimensional graphical model selection is a popular topic in contemporary machine learning. To this end, various useful approaches have been proposed in the context of $\ell_1$-penalized estimation in the Gaussian framework.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-02-04 Sang-Yun Oh , Onkar Dalal , Kshitij Khare , Bala Rajaratnam

In nonparametric regression, it is common for the inputs to fall in a restricted subset of Euclidean space. Typical kernel-based methods that do not take into account the intrinsic geometry of the domain across which observations are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-04 David B Dunson , Hau-Tieng Wu , Nan Wu

Parameter inference for linear and non-Gaussian state space models is challenging because the likelihood function contains an intractable integral over the latent state variables. While Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide exact…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Bao Anh Vu , David Gunawan , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

It is common in nature to see aggregation of objects in space. Exploring the mechanism associated with the locations of such clustered observations can be essential to understanding the phenomenon, such as the source of spatial…

Efficient Bayesian inference remains a computational challenge in hierarchical models. Simulation-based approaches such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are still popular but have a large computational cost. When dealing with the large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Cristian Chiuchiolo , Janet van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

We begin with isotropic Gaussian random fields, and show how the Bochner-Godement theorem gives a natural way to describe their covariance structure. We continue with a study of Mat\'ern processes on Euclidean space, spheres, manifolds and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-24 N. H. Bingham , Tasmin L. Symons

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as surrogate models for complicated functions in scientific and engineering applications. In many cases, prior knowledge about the function to be approximated, such as monotonicity, is available and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-10 Chao Zhang , Jasper M. Everink , Jakob Sauer Jørgensen

A Gaussian Cox process is a popular model for point process data, in which the intensity function is a transformation of a Gaussian process. Posterior inference of this intensity function involves an intractable integral (i.e., the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-01 Bingjing Tang , Julia Palacios

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

This paper introduces an R package for spatio-temporal prediction and forecasting for log-Gaussian Cox processes. The main computational tool for these models is Markov chain Monte Carlo and the new package, lgcp, therefore also provides an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-28 Benjamin M. Taylor , Tilman M. Davies , Barry S. Rowlingson , Peter J. Diggle

This work deals with uncertainty quantification for a generic input distribution to some resource-intensive simulation, e.g., requiring the solution of a partial differential equation. While efficient numerical methods exist to compute…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-16 Oliver G. Ernst , Hanno Gottschalk , Toni Kowalewitz , Patrick Krüger

Gaussian processes are powerful models for probabilistic machine learning, but are limited in application by their $O(N^3)$ inference complexity. We propose a method for deriving parametric families of kernel functions with compact spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Jarred Barber

We introduce a new class of spatial Cox processes driven by a Hilbert--valued random log--intensity. We adopt a parametric framework in the spectral domain, to estimate its spatial functional correlation structure. Specifically, we consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-11 M. P. Frías , A. Torres-Signes , M. D. Ruiz-Medina , J. Mateu