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The switchback is an experimental design that measures treatment effects by repeatedly turning an intervention on and off for a whole system. Switchback experiments are a robust way to overcome cross-unit spillover effects; however, they…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Yuchen Hu , Stefan Wager

Tie-breaker designs trade off a statistical design objective with short-term gain from preferentially assigning a binary treatment to those with high values of a running variable $x$. The design objective is any continuous function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

Accurate estimation of treatment effects is essential for decision-making across various scientific fields. This task, however, becomes challenging in areas like social sciences and online marketplaces, where treating one experimental unit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Mohsen Bayati , Yuwei Luo , William Overman , Sadegh Shirani , Ruoxuan Xiong

When individuals engage in social or physical interactions, a unit's outcome may depend on the treatments received by others. In such interference environments, we provide a unified framework characterizing a broad class of spillover…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Fei Fang , Laura Forastiere

Given observations from a circular random variable contaminated by an additive measurement error, we consider the problem of minimax optimal goodness-of-fit testing in a non-asymptotic framework. We propose direct and indirect testing…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-14 Sandra Schluttenhofer , Jan Johannes

We study the design and analysis of switchback experiments conducted on a single aggregate unit. The design problem is to partition the continuous time space into intervals and switch treatments between intervals, in order to minimize the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-12 Ruoxuan Xiong , Alex Chin , Sean J. Taylor

Randomized experiments in which the treatment of a unit can affect the outcomes of other units are becoming increasingly common in healthcare, economics, and in the social and information sciences. From a causal inference perspective, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Daniel L. Sussman , Edoardo M. Airoldi

We systematically investigate issues due to mis-specification that arise in estimating causal effects when (treatment) interference is informed by a network available pre-intervention, i.e., in situations where the outcome of a unit may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-22 Vishesh Karwa , Edoardo M. Airoldi

A central goal of causal inference is to detect and estimate the treatment effects of a given treatment or intervention on an outcome variable of interest, where a member known as the heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) is of growing…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-27 Zijun Gao , Yanjun Han

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

The conclusions of randomized controlled trials may be biased when the outcome of one unit depends on the treatment status of other units, a problem known as interference. In this work, we study interference in the setting of one-sided…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Jennifer Brennan , Vahab Mirrokni , Jean Pouget-Abadie

We investigate the optimal design of experimental studies that have pre-treatment outcome data available. The average treatment effect is estimated as the difference between the weighted average outcomes of the treated and control units. A…

This work studies an experimental design problem where {the values of a predictor variable, denoted by $x$}, are to be determined with the goal of estimating a function $m(x)$, which is observed with noise. A linear model is fitted to…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-03 David Azriel

Current approaches to A/B testing in networks focus on limiting interference, the concern that treatment effects can "spill over" from treatment nodes to control nodes and lead to biased causal effect estimation. Prominent methods for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-16 Zahra Fatemi , Elena Zheleva

To report spillover effects, a common practice is to regress outcomes on statistics summarizing neighbors' treatments. This paper studies nonparametric analogs of these estimands, which we refer to as exposure contrasts. We demonstrate that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-10 Michael P. Leung

Classical approaches to experimental design assume that intervening on one unit does not affect other units. There are many important settings, however, where this non-interference assumption does not hold, as when running experiments on…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-01 Stefan Wager , Kuang Xu

We study design-unbiased estimation of the finite-population total $\sum_{i=1}^N y_i$ when each outcome satisfies known bounds $y_i\in[a_i,b_i]$. For any sampling design with inclusion probabilities $\pi_i>0$, we prove a sharp lower bound…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-21 P. M. Aronow , Patrick Lopatto

This paper considers the estimation of treatment effects in randomized experiments with complex experimental designs, including cases with interference between units. We develop a design-based estimation theory for arbitrary experimental…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-27 Haoge Chang

We study estimation of causal effects in staggered rollout designs, i.e. settings where there is staggered treatment adoption and the timing of treatment is as-good-as randomly assigned. We derive the most efficient estimator in a class of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-18 Jonathan Roth , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators are widely used in network experiments to estimate spillover effects. We study the causal interpretation of, and inference for the OLS estimator under both design-based uncertainty from random…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-09 Kensuke Sakamoto , Yuya Shimizu