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相关论文: Multiple change point detection based on Hodrick-P…

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Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

Generative, temporal network models play an important role in analyzing the dependence structure and evolution patterns of complex networks. Due to the complicated nature of real network data, it is often naive to assume that the underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-15 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang , Xianyang Zhang

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Very long and noisy sequence data arise from biological sciences to social science including high throughput data in genomics and stock prices in econometrics. Often such data are collected in order to identify and understand shifts in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-15 Yue S. Niu , Ning Hao , Heping Zhang

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-09-01 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

In this paper, we present a change point detection method for detecting change points in multivariate nonstationary wind speed time series. The change point method identifies changes in the covariance structure and decomposes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar , Raanju R. Sundararajan

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

This paper investigates sequential change-point detection in reconfigurable sensor networks. In this problem, data from multiple sensors are observed sequentially. Each sensor can have a unique change point, and the data distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Seungwon Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

The problem of change-point estimation is considered under a general framework where the data are generated by unknown stationary ergodic process distributions. In this context, the consistent estimation of the number of change-points is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-02-15 Azaden Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

In this paper we develop a generalized likelihood ratio scan method (GLRSM) for multiple change-points inference in piecewise stationary time series, which estimates the number and positions of change-points and provides a confidence…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-03 Wai Leong Ng , Shenyi Pan , Chun Yip Yau

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

We present a general and flexible framework for detecting regime changes in complex, non-stationary data across multi-trial experiments. Traditional change point detection methods focus on identifying abrupt changes within a single time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Anass B. El-Yaagoubi , Jean-Marc Freyermuth , Hernando Ombao

Detecting changes in high-dimensional time series is difficult because it involves the comparison of probability densities that need to be estimated from finite samples. In this paper, we present the first feature extraction method tailored…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Duncan Blythe , Paul von Bünau , Frank Meinecke , Klaus-Robert Müller

This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high-dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Lorenzo Trapani

Dynamic networks consist of a sequence of time-varying networks, and it is of great importance to detect the network change points. Most existing methods focus on detecting abrupt change points, necessitating the assumption that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-13 Yuzhao Zhang , Jingnan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Junhui Wang