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Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies. Not surprisingly, this area has attracted…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Peiyuan Liu , Yuxia Zhu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Shu-tao Xia , Dawei Cheng , Changjun Jiang

Strategy synthesis typically follows an all-or-nothing paradigm, returning unrealisable whenever a specification cannot be guaranteed in an uncertain environment. In this paper, we introduce optimal LTLf synthesis, where the goal is to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Yujian Cao , Sven Schewe , Qiyi Tang , Shufang Zhu

Designing effective incentive mechanisms in mobile crowdsensing (MCS) networks is crucial for engaging distributed mobile users (workers) to contribute heterogeneous data for various applications (tasks). In this paper, we propose a novel…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Houyi Qi , Minghui Liwang , Xianbin Wang , Liqun Fu , Yiguang Hong , Li Li , Zhipeng Cheng

In self-driving, predicting future in terms of location and motion of all the agents around the vehicle is a crucial requirement for planning. Recently, a new joint formulation of perception and prediction has emerged by fusing rich sensory…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Adil Kaan Akan , Fatma Güney

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is widely recognized as a central challenge in data mining and machine learning. LTSF has increasingly evolved into a benchmark-driven ''GAME,'' where models are ranked, compared, and declared…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Thanapol Phungtua-eng , Yoshitaka Yamamoto

This paper studies the application of ensembles composed of multi-output models for multi-step ahead forecasting problems. Dynamic ensembles have been commonly used for forecasting. However, these are typically designed for one-step-ahead…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Decisions for a variable renewable resource generators commitment in the energy market are typically made in advance when little information is obtainable about wind availability and market prices. Much research has been published…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-03-09 Razan A. H. Al-Lawati , Jose L. Crespo-Vazquez , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Xin Fang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

We study the iterative refinement of path planning for multiple robots, known as multi-agent pathfinding (MAPF). Given a graph, agents, their initial locations, and destinations, a solution of MAPF is a set of paths without collisions.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-02-15 Keisuke Okumura , Yasumasa Tamura , Xavier Defago

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are standard models for probabilistic systems with non-deterministic behaviours. Mean payoff (or long-run average reward) provides a mathematically elegant formalism to express performance related…

性能 · 计算机科学 2017-09-08 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

Model performance evaluation is a critical and expensive task in machine learning and computer vision. Without clear guidelines, practitioners often estimate model accuracy using a one-time completely random selection of the data. However,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Mathew Monfort , Pietro Perona

Two nonparametric methods are presented for forecasting functional time series (FTS). The FTS we observe is a curve at a discrete-time point. We address both one-step-ahead forecasting and dynamic updating. Dynamic updating is a forward…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez , Hanlin Shang

Water demand is a highly important variable for operational control and decision making. Hence, the development of accurate forecasts is a valuable field of research to further improve the efficiency of water utilities. Focusing on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-12 Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-29 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Multi-stage financial decision optimization under uncertainty depends on a careful numerical approximation of the underlying stochastic process, which describes the future returns of the selected assets or asset categories. Various…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2010-04-27 Ronald Hochreiter

Multimodal time series forecasting is crucial in real-world applications, where decisions depend on both numerical data and contextual signals. The core challenge is to effectively combine temporal numerical patterns with the context…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Huu Hiep Nguyen , Minh Hoang Nguyen , Dung Nguyen , Hung Le

Accurate temporal prediction is the bridge between comprehensive scene understanding and embodied artificial intelligence. However, predicting multiple fine-grained states of a scene at multiple temporal scales is difficult for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Zhitao Zeng , Guojian Yuan , Junyuan Mao , Yuxuan Wang , Xiaoshuang Jia , Yueming Jin

Effective human-robot teaming is crucial for the practical deployment of robots in human workspaces. However, optimizing joint human-robot plans remains a challenge due to the difficulty of modeling individualized human capabilities and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Alex Cuellar , Michael Hagenow , Julie Shah

Some real-world decision-making problems require making probabilistic forecasts over multiple steps at once. However, methods for probabilistic forecasting may fail to capture correlations in the underlying time-series that exist over long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Arec Jamgochian , Di Wu , Kunal Menda , Soyeon Jung , Mykel J. Kochenderfer