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Model averaging techniques in the actuarial literature aim to forecast future longevity appropriately by combining forecasts derived from various models. This approach often yields more accurate predictions than those generated by a single…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Giovanna Bimonte , Maria Russolillo , Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

Joint modelling of longitudinal and survival data is increasingly used in clinical trials on cancer. In prostate cancer for example, these models permit to account for the link between longitudinal measures of prostate-specific antigen…

Hospital readmission among patients with chronic heart failure (HF) is a major clinical and economic burden. Dynamic prediction models that leverage longitudinal biomarkers may improve risk stratification over traditional static models.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Rebecca Farina , Francois Mercier , Christian Wohlfart , Serge Masson , Silvia Metelli

Observational cohort studies are increasingly being used for comparative effectiveness research to assess the safety of therapeutics. Recently, various doubly robust methods have been proposed for average treatment effect estimation by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Xiaoqing Tan , Shu Yang , Wenyu Ye , Douglas E. Faries , Ilya Lipkovich , Zbigniew Kadziola

We introduce a statistical procedure that integrates survival data from multiple biomedical studies, to improve the accuracy of predictions of survival or other events, based on individual clinical and genomic profiles, compared to models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-20 Steffen Ventz , Rahul Mazumder , Lorenzo Trippa

Characterization of long-term disease dynamics, from disease-free to end-stage, is integral to understanding the course of neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's and Alzheimer's; and ultimately, how best to intervene. Natural…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-12 Dan Li , Samuel Iddi , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue

Screening and surveillance are routinely used in medicine for early detection of disease and close monitoring of progression. Biomarkers are one of the primarily tools used for these tasks, but their successful translation to clinical…

Prediction of symptomatic crises in chronic diseases allows to take decisions before the symptoms occur, such as the intake of drugs to avoid the symptoms or the activation of medical alarms. The prediction horizon is in this case an…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-02-20 Josué Pagán , José L. Risco-Martín , José M. Moya , José L. Ayala

Autonomous vehicles should be able to generate accurate probabilistic predictions for uncertain behavior of other road users. Moreover, reactive predictions are necessary in highly interactive driving scenarios to answer "what if I take…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Wei Zhan , Liting Sun , Yeping Hu , Jiachen Li , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Many relevant statistical and econometric models for the analysis of longitudinal data include a latent process to account for the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in a dynamic fashion. Such a process may be continuous (typically…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-09 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Bacci , Fulvia Pennoni

In various biomedical studies, analysis often focuses on data magnitudes, particularly when algebraic signs are irrelevant or lost. For repeated measures studies involving magnitude outcomes, incorporating random effects is essential as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Wen Teng , Niall D. Ferguson , Ewan C. Goligher , Anna Heath

In longitudinal studies, time-varying covariates are often endogenous, meaning their values depend on both their own history and that of the outcome variable. This violates key assumptions of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models (GLMMs),…

This paper takes a quick look at Bayesian joint models (BJM) for longitudinal and survival data. A general formulation for BJM is examined in terms of the sampling distribution of the longitudinal and survival processes, the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Carmen Armero

In various data situations joint models are an efficient tool to analyze relationships between time dependent covariates and event times or to correct for event-dependent dropout occurring in regression analysis. Joint modeling connects a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-25 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Mayr , Elisabeth Waldmann

In time-to-event analyses in social sciences, there often exist endogenous time-varying variables, where the event status is correlated with the trajectory of the covariate itself. Ignoring this endogeneity will result in biased estimates.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Sophie Potts , Anja Rappl , Karin Kurz , Elisabeth Bergherr

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

We consider the problem of model building for rare events prediction in longitudinal follow-up studies. In this paper, we compare several resampling methods to improve standard regression models on a real life example. We evaluate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Pierre Druilhet , Mathieu Berthe , Stéphanie Léger

We study the multiplicative hazards model with intermittently observed longitudinal covariates and time-varying coefficients. For such models, the existing ad hoc approach, such as the last value carried forward, is biased. We propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

A linear mixed-effects (LME) model is proposed for modelling and forecasting single and multi-population age-specific death rates (ASDRs). The innovative approach that we take in this study treats age, the interaction between gender and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Reza Dastranj , Martin Kolar

As advancements in novel biomarker-based algorithms and models accelerate disease risk prediction and stratification in medicine, it is crucial to evaluate these models within the context of their intended clinical application. Prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Kehao Zhu , Yingye Zheng , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan