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Latent variable models have been widely applied in different fields of research in which the constructs of interest are not directly observable, so that one or more latent variables are required to reduce the complexity of the data. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-07 Silvia Bianconcini

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Robust estimators for generalized linear models (GLMs) are not easy to develop due to the nature of the distributions involved. Recently, there has been growing interest in robust estimation methods, particularly in contexts involving a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Marina Valdora , Claudio Agostinelli

Mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND) have gained popularity for modelling datasets with complex statistical behaviours. However, the estimation of the shape parameter within the maximum likelihood framework is quite complex,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Pierdomenico Duttilo , Stefano Antonio Gattone

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

The extremal index $\theta$, a measure of the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary process, plays an important role in extreme value analyses. We estimate $\theta$ semiparametrically, using the relationship between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-02 Paul J. Northrop

Accurately estimating high quantiles beyond the largest observed value is crucial for risk assessment and devising effective adaptation strategies to prevent a greater disaster. The generalized extreme value distribution is widely used for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

We study weighted M-estimators for $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued clustered data and give sufficient conditions for their consistency. Their asymptotic normality is established with estimation of the asymptotic covariance matrix. We address the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-14 Mohammed El Asri , Delphine Blanke , Edith Gabriel

This paper develops theory for feasible estimators of finite-dimensional parameters identified by general conditional quantile restrictions, under much weaker assumptions than previously seen in the literature. This includes instrumental…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-07 Luciano de Castro , Antonio F. Galvao , David M. Kaplan , Xin Liu

Extreme values modeling has attracting the attention of researchers in diverse areas such as the environment, engineering, or finance. Multivariate extreme value distributions are particularly suitable to model the tails of multidimensional…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-16 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

In extreme value analysis, the extreme value index plays a vital role as it determines the tail heaviness of the underlying distribution and is the primary parameter required for the estimation of other extreme events. In this paper, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-27 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet , Ezekiel Nii Noi Nortey

We present efficient finite difference estimators for goal-oriented sensitivity indices with applications to the generalized Langevin equation (GLE). In particular, we apply these estimators to analyze an extended variable formulation of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-09-18 Eric Joseph Hall , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

This paper deals with optimally-robust parameter estimation in generalized Pareto distributions (GPDs). These arise naturally in many situations where one is interested in the behavior of extreme events as motivated by the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-17 Peter Ruckdeschel , Nataliya Horbenko

When modeling a vector of risk variables, extreme scenarios are often of special interest. The peaks-over-thresholds method hinges on the notion that, asymptotically, the excesses over a vector of high thresholds follow a multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-23 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

Let $f(y|\theta), \; \theta \in \Omega$ be a parametric family, $\eta(\theta)$ a given function, and $G$ an unknown mixing distribution. It is desired to estimate $E_G (\eta(\theta))\equiv \eta_G$ based on independent observations…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-29 Eitan Greenshtein , Ya'acov Ritov

It is known that the estimating equations for quantile regression (QR) can be solved using an EM algorithm in which the M-step is computed via weighted least squares, with weights computed at the E-step as the expectation of independent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

The generalized log-gamma (GLG) model is a very flexible family of distributions to analyze datasets in many different areas of science and technology. In this paper, we propose estimators which are simultaneously highly robust and highly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-07 Claudio Agostinelli , Isabella Locatelli , Alfio Marazzi , Victor J. Yohai

Multivariate data occurs in a wide range of fields, with ever more flexible model specifications being proposed, often within a multivariate generalised linear mixed effects (MGLME) framework. In this article, we describe an extended…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-09 Michael J. Crowther

The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-01 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Alexandre G. Patriota

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang