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In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested. The new method is developed from the perspective of Bayesian statistics and it…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-05-04 Taras Bodnar , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

Value-at-risk (VaR) has been playing the role of a standard risk measure since its introduction. In practice, the delta-normal approach is usually adopted to approximate the VaR of portfolios with option positions. Its effectiveness,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-22 Junyao Chen , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

In this paper we introduce a novel approach to risk estimation based on nonlinear factor models - the "StressVaR" (SVaR). Developed to evaluate the risk of hedge funds, the SVaR appears to be applicable to a wide range of investments. Its…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2009-11-23 Cyril Coste , Raphael Douady , Ilija I. Zovko

We study the optimal portfolio allocation problem from a Bayesian perspective using value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) as risk measures. By applying the posterior predictive distribution for the future portfolio…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-04 Taras Bodnar , Mathias Lindholm , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

Monte Carlo Approaches for calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR) are powerful tools widely used by financial risk managers across the globe. However, they are time consuming and sometimes inaccurate. In this paper, a fast and accurate Monte Carlo…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-17 Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi , Hamidreza Arian

We consider the portfolio optimization with risk measured by conditional value-at-risk, based on the stress event of chosen asset being equal to the opposite of its value-at-risk level, under the normality assumption. Solvability conditions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-07 Anna Zalewska

We show how one can actually take advantage of the strongly non-Gaussian nature of the fluctuations of financial assets to simplify the calculation of the Value-at-Risk of complex non linear portfolios. The resulting equations are not hard…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

The problem of finding the optimal portfolio for investors is called the portfolio optimization problem. Such problem mainly concerns the expectation and variability of return (i.e., mean and variance). Although the variance would be the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-21 Kei Nakagawa , Shuhei Noma , Masaya Abe

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-01-29 Christian Laudagé , Ivica Turkalj

The entropic value-at-risk (EVaR) is a new coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound for both the value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). As important properties, the EVaR is strongly monotone over its domain and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-04-17 Amir Ahmadi-Javid , Malihe Fallah-Tafti

Risk management is very important for individual investors or companies. There are many ways to measure the risk of investment. Prices of risky assets vary rapidly and randomly due to the complexity of finance market. Random interval is a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-07-26 Jinping Zhang , Keming Zhang

Optimizing risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of a general loss distribution is usually difficult, because 1) the loss function might lack structural properties such as convexity or…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-08-03 Helin Zhu , Joshua Hale , Enlu Zhou

The problem of data uncertainty has motivated the incorporation of robust optimization in various arenas, beyond the Markowitz portfolio optimization. This work presents the extension of the robust optimization framework for the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2019-08-15 Mohammed Bilal Girach , Shashank Oberoi , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Determining contributions by sub-portfolios or single exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital for credit risk is an important risk measurement task. Often economic capital is measured as Value-at-Risk (VaR) of the portfolio loss…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-18 Dirk Tasche

Value at Risk (VaR) is a quantitative measure used to evaluate the risk linked to the potential loss of investment or capital. Estimation of the VaR entails the quantification of prospective losses in a portfolio of investments, using a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-01 Minglian Lin , Indranil SenGupta , William Wilson

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi

Measuring risk is at the center of modern financial risk management. As the world economy is becoming more complex and standard modeling assumptions are violated, the advanced artificial intelligence solutions may provide the right tools to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-16 Hamidreza Arian , Mehrdad Moghimi , Ehsan Tabatabaei , Shiva Zamani

The instability of historical risk factor correlations renders their use in estimating portfolio risk extremely questionable. In periods of market stress correlations of risk factors have a tendency to quickly go well beyond estimated…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Vineer Bhansali , Mark B. Wise

Designing dynamic portfolio insurance strategies under market conditions switching between two or more regimes is a challenging task in financial economics. Recently, a promising approach employing the value-at-risk (VaR) measure to assign…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-23 Peyman Alipour , Ali Foroush Bastani

Worst-case risk measures refer to the calculation of the largest value for risk measures when only partial information of the underlying distribution is available. For the popular risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-09-15 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li
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