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Many approximate Bayesian inference methods assume a particular parametric form for approximating the posterior distribution. A multivariate Gaussian distribution provides a convenient density for such approaches; examples include the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-20 Jackson Zhou , Clara Grazian , John Ormerod

Gaussian approximations are routinely employed in Bayesian statistics to ease inference when the target posterior is intractable. Although these approximations are asymptotically justified by Bernstein-von Mises type results, in practice…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-09 Daniele Durante , Francesco Pozza , Botond Szabo

In Bayesian inference, making deductions about a parameter of interest requires one to sample from or compute an integral against a posterior distribution. A popular method to make these computations cheaper in high-dimensional settings is…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-10 Anya Katsevich

Gaussian variational approximations are widely used for summarizing posterior distributions in Bayesian models, especially in high-dimensional settings. However, a drawback of such approximations is the inability to capture skewness or more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Lucas Kock , Linda S. L. Tan , Prateek Bansal , David J. Nott

Posterior inference for Dirichlet process mixture models is analytically intractable and typically relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which can become computationally prohibitive at moderate to large sample sizes. In this work, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Beatrice Franzolini , Francesco Pozza

In recent years, inconsistency in Bayesian deep learning has attracted significant attention. Tempered or generalized posterior distributions are frequently employed as direct and effective solutions. Nonetheless, the underlying mechanisms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Yinsong Chen , Samson S. Yu , Zhong Li , Chee Peng Lim

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

Gaussian processes (GPs) are distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to regression and classification. In spite of their success, GPs have limited use in some applications, for example, in some cases a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-28 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Azzimonti , Dario Piga

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

The family of skew-symmetric distributions is a wide set of probability density functions obtained by combining in a suitable form a few components which are selectable quite freely provided some simple requirements are satisfied. Intense…

概率论 · 数学 2010-12-22 Adelchi Azzalini , Giuliana Regoli

Gaussian distributions are widely used in Bayesian variational inference to approximate intractable posterior densities, but the ability to accommodate skewness can improve approximation accuracy significantly, when data or prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Linda S. L. Tan , Aoxiang Chen

Approximating complex probability distributions, such as Bayesian posterior distributions, is of central interest in many applications. We study the expressivity of geometric Gaussian approximations. These consist of approximations by…

微分几何 · 数学 2025-07-02 Nathaël Da Costa , Bálint Mucsányi , Philipp Hennig

Laplace's method approximates a target density with a Gaussian distribution at its mode. It is computationally efficient and asymptotically exact for Bayesian inference due to the Bernstein-von Mises theorem, but for complex targets and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Mark Girolami , Arto Klami

This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-29 Conrado S. Miranda , Fernando J. Von Zuben

Skewed generalizations of the normal distribution have been a topic of great interest in the statistics community due to their diverse applications across several domains. One of the most popular skew normal distributions, due to its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Narayan Srinivasan

We propose a new family of error distributions for model-based quantile regression, which is constructed through a structured mixture of normal distributions. The construction enables fixing specific percentiles of the distribution while,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-10 Yifei Yan , Athanasios Kottas

Approximate Bayesian inference typically revolves around computing the posterior parameter distribution. In practice, however, the main object of interest is often a model's predictions rather than its parameters. In this work, we propose…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Julian Rodemann , Alexander Marquard , Thomas Augustin , Michele Caprio

Although the Laplace approximation offers a simple route to uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks, its reliance on inverting large Hessian matrices has motivated a range of computationally feasible low-dimensional or sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Swarnali Raha , Kshitij Khare , Rohit K Patra

The skew-normal and the skew-$t$ distributions are parametric families which are currently under intense investigation since they provide a more flexible formulation compared to the classical normal and $t$ distributions by introducing a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

Bayesian neural networks often approximate the weight-posterior with a Gaussian distribution. However, practical posteriors are often, even locally, highly non-Gaussian, and empirical performance deteriorates. We propose a simple parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Federico Bergamin , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Søren Hauberg , Georgios Arvanitidis
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