相关论文: E-Values for Exponential Families: the General Cas…

We provide a general condition under which e-variables in the form of a simple-vs.-simple likelihood ratio exist when the null hypothesis is a composite, multivariate exponential family. Such `simple' e-variables are easy to compute and…

We develop and compare e-variables for testing whether $k$ samples of data are drawn from the same distribution, the alternative being that they come from different elements of an exponential family. We consider the GRO (growth-rate…

We consider testing a composite null hypothesis $\mathcal{P}$ against a point alternative $\mathsf{Q}$ using e-variables, which are nonnegative random variables $X$ such that $\mathbb{E}_\mathsf{P}[X] \leq 1$ for every $\mathsf{P} \in…

Information projections have found important applications in probability theory, statistics, and related areas. In the field of hypothesis testing in particular, the reverse information projection (RIPr) has recently been shown to lead to…

This article studies exponential families $\mathcal{E}$ on finite sets such that the information divergence $D(P\|\mathcal{E})$ of an arbitrary probability distribution from $\mathcal{E}$ is bounded by some constant $D>0$. A particular…

We consider growth-optimal e-variables with maximal e-power, both in an absolute and relative sense, for simple null hypotheses for a $d$-dimensional random vector, and multivariate composite alternatives represented as a set of…

This paper investigates maximizers of the information divergence from an exponential family $E$. It is shown that the $rI$-projection of a maximizer $P$ to $E$ is a convex combination of $P$ and a probability measure $P_-$ with disjoint…

E-variables are nonnegative random variables with expected value at most one under any distribution from a given null hypothesis. Every nonasymptotically valid test can be obtained by thresholding some e-variable. As such, e-variables arise…

E-variables enable safe and anytime-valid inference, with log-optimal e-variables given by the likelihood ratio of the least favorable distributions (LFDs) when they exist in composite settings. While this unconstrained theory is well…

Exponential family extensions of principal component analysis (EPCA) have received a considerable amount of attention in recent years, demonstrating the growing need for basic modeling tools that do not assume the squared loss or Gaussian…

We develop E-variables for testing whether two or more data streams come from the same source or not, and more generally, whether the difference between the sources is larger than some minimal effect size. These E-variables lead to exact,…

We consider the question of learning the natural parameters of a $k$ parameter minimal exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We focus on the setting where the support as well as the…

We derive the unique e-values with optimal (relative) growth rate in the worst case for testing the mean of a bounded random variable, hereby contributing with the first application beyond the assumption of mutually absolutely continuous…

Variational autoencoders (VAE) often use Gaussian or category distribution to model the inference process. This puts a limit on variational learning because this simplified assumption does not match the true posterior distribution, which is…

In this paper we de ne conditional random elds in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces and show connections to Gaussian Process classi cation. More speci cally, we prove decomposition results for undirected graphical models and we give…

It is shown that a consistent application of Bayesian updating from a prior probability density to a posterior using evidence in the form of expectation constraints leads to exactly the same results as the application of the maximum entropy…

One of the main approaches used to construct prior distributions for objective Bayes methods is the concept of random imaginary observations. Under this setup, the expected-posterior prior (EPP) offers several advantages, among which it has…

In the context of the expected-posterior prior (EPP) approach to Bayesian variable selection in linear models, we combine ideas from power-prior and unit-information-prior methodologies to simultaneously produce a minimally-informative…

We introduce Exponential Family Discriminant Analysis (EFDA), a unified generative framework that extends classical Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) beyond the Gaussian setting to any member of the exponential family. Under the assumption…

The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior is an objective prior for Gaussian linear models, which leads to consistent model selection inference, under the M-closed scenario, and tends to favor parsimonious models. Recently, two new forms of…