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The advent and subsequent widespread availability of preventive vaccines has altered the course of public health over the past century. Despite this success, effective vaccines to prevent many high-burden diseases, including HIV, have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Holly E. Janes , Peter B. Gilbert , David C. Benkeser

In vaccine trials with long-term participant follow-up, it is of great importance to identify surrogate markers that accurately infer long-term immune responses. These markers offer practical advantages such as providing early, indirect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Arthur Hughes , Layla Parast , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Boris P. Hejblum

Randomized controlled trials often enroll participants whose characteristics differ from those of a target population, which can limit the generalizability of the estimated treatment effects when effect modifiers differ across populations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Lan Wen , Issa J. Dahabreh , Yu-Han Chiu

We study inference on the long-term causal effect of a continual exposure to a novel intervention, which we term a long-term treatment, based on an experiment involving only short-term observations. Key examples include the long-term health…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Allen Tran , Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus

We carry out ANOVA comparisons of multiple treatments for longitudinal studies with missing values. The treatment effects are modeled semiparametrically via a partially linear regression which is flexible in quantifying the time effects of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-14 Song Xi Chen , Ping-Shou Zhong

Causal mediation analysis has historically been limited in two important ways: (i) a focus has traditionally been placed on binary treatments and static interventions, and (ii) direct and indirect effect decompositions have been pursued…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-13 Nima S. Hejazi , Kara E. Rudolph , Mark J. van der Laan , Iván Díaz

Modern longitudinal studies collect feature data at many timepoints, often of the same order of sample size. Such studies are typically affected by {dropout} and positivity violations. We tackle these problems by generalizing effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , Ashley I. Naimi

Sequential parallel comparison design (SPCD) clinical trials aim to adjust active treatment effect estimates for placebo response to minimize the impact of placebo responders on the estimates. This is potentially accomplished using a two…

In biomedical science, analyzing treatment effect heterogeneity plays an essential role in assisting personalized medicine. The main goals of analyzing treatment effect heterogeneity include estimating treatment effects in clinically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-06 Waverly Wei , Maya Petersen , Mark J van der Laan , Zeyu Zheng , Chong Wu , Jingshen Wang

The presence of unobserved confounders is one of the main challenges in identifying treatment effects. In this paper, we propose a new approach to causal inference using panel data with large large $N$ and $T$. Our approach imputes the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-28 Ben Deaner , Chen-Wei Hsiang , Andrei Zeleneev

In meta-analytic modeling, the functional relationship between a primary and surrogate endpoint is estimated using summary data from a set of completed clinical trials. Parameters in the meta-analytic model are used to assess the quality of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-07 James P. Long , Abhishikta Roy , Ehsan Irajizad , Kim-Anh Do , Yu Shen

This paper provides a general framework for testing instrument validity in heterogeneous causal effect models. The generalization includes the cases where the treatment can be multivalued ordered or unordered. Based on a series of testable…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-11 Zhenting Sun

In comparative effectiveness research, treated and control patients might have a different start of follow-up as treatment is often started later in the disease trajectory. This typically occurs when data from treated and controls are not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-10 Rik van Eekelen , Patrick M. M. Bossuyt , Nan van Geloven

Deciding on an appropriate intervention requires a causal model of a treatment, the outcome, and potential mediators. Causal mediation analysis lets us distinguish between direct and indirect effects of the intervention, but has mostly been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-19 Çağlar Hızlı , ST John , Anne Juuti , Tuure Saarinen , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

Long-term causal inference has drawn increasing attention in many scientific domains. Existing methods mainly focus on estimating average long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational data and short-term experimental data.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Zeqin Yang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Individualized randomized experiments are central to online platforms for optimizing personalized decisions in complex environments. In two-sided markets, however, standard treatment effect estimation is often invalid due to strong temporal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Shuguang Yu , Ting Li , Yuchen Lu , Chengchun Shi , Fan Zhou , Zhichao Zou , Peng Zhen , Hongtu Zhu

We study variants of the average treatment effect on the treated with population parameters replaced by their sample counterparts. For each estimand, we derive the limiting distribution with respect to a semiparametric efficient estimator…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-12 Andrew Yiu

Non-randomized treatment effect models are widely used for the assessment of treatment effects in various fields and in particular social science disciplines like political science, psychometry, psychology. More specifically, these are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

We consider estimation and inference of the effects of a policy in the absence of an untreated or control group. We obtain unbiased estimators of individual (heterogeneous) treatment effects and a consistent and asymptotically normal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-13 Irene Botosaru , Raffaella Giacomini , Martin Weidner

The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the gold standard trial design to generate data for the evaluation of multi-stage treatment regimes. As with conventional (single-stage) randomized clinical trials, interim…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Eric Laber , Marie Davidian