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Short term load forecasts will play a key role in the implementation of smart electricity grids. They are required to optimise a wide range of potential network solutions on the low voltage (LV) grid, including integrating low carbon…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-17 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis , Florian Ziel , Siddharth Arora

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

The volatile nature of wind power generation creates challenges in achieving secure power grid operations. It is, therefore, necessary to make accurate wind power prediction and its uncertainty quantification. Wind power forecasting usually…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Jingxing Wang , Abdullah Alshelahi , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

This paper explores the potential of a hybrid modeling approach that combines machine learning (ML) with conventional physics-based modeling for weather prediction beyond the medium range. It extends the work of Arcomano et al. (2022),…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-28 Dhruvit Patel , Troy Arcomano , Brian Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Edward Ott

As the concern about climate change and energy shortage grow stronger, the incorporation of renewable energy in the power system in the future is foreseeable. In a hybrid power system with a large penetration of PV generation, PV panel is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-10 Songyao Jiang , Takeyoshi Kato

Given the advancements in data-driven modeling for complex engineering and scientific applications, this work utilizes a data-driven predictive control method, namely subspace predictive control, to coordinate hybrid power plant components…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-20 Manavendra Desai , Himanshu Sharma , Sayak Mukherjee , Sonja Glavaski

Wind speed is a powerful source of renewable energy, which can be used as an alternative to the non-renewable resources for production of electricity. Renewable sources are clean, infinite and do not impact the environment negatively during…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-01 Swayamjit Saha

Renewable energy sources such as wind and solar have received much attention in recent years and large amount of renewable generation is being integrated to the electricity networks. A fundamental challenge in power system operation is to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-07-11 W. A. Bukhsh , C. Zhang , P. Pinson

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

Long-duration energy storage (LDES) is a key component for fully renewable, sector-coupled energy systems based on wind and solar. While capacity expansion planning has begun to take into account interannual weather variability, it often…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-11 Felix Schmidt

While wind and solar power contribute to sustainability, their intermittent nature poses challenges when integrated into the grid. To mitigate these issues, renewable energy can be combined with coal fired power and hydropower sources to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-12 Manling Hu , Manqi Xu , Dunnan Liu

This paper proposes a reliable energy scheduling framework for distributed energy resources (DER) of a residential area to achieve an appropriate daily electricity consumption with the maximum affordable demand response. Renewable and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-23 Anahita Moradmand , Mehrdad Dorostian , Bahram Shafai

Wind and solar PV generation data for the entire contiguous US are calculated, on the basis of 32 years of weather data with temporal resolution of one hour and spatial resolution of 40x40km$^2$, assuming site-suitability-based as well as…

Knowledge about the background solar wind plays a crucial role in the framework of space weather forecasting. In-situ measurements of the background solar wind are only available for a few points in the heliosphere where spacecraft are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-12-05 C. Gressl , A. M. Veronig , M. Temmer , D. Odstrcil , J. A. Linker , Z. Mikic , P. Riley

The Hybrid Energy Forecasting and Trading Competition challenged participants to forecast and trade the electricity generation from a 3.6GW portfolio of wind and solar farms in Great Britain for three months in 2024. The competition…

The accurate prediction of short-term electricity prices is vital for effective trading strategies, power plant scheduling, profit maximisation and efficient system operation. However, uncertainties in supply and demand make such…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-20 Mira Watermeyer , Thomas Möbius , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

Model predictive control (MPC) has proven its applicability in power conversion control with its fast dynamic response to reference changes while ensuring critical system constraints are satisfied. Even then, the computational burden still…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-25 Orcun Karaca , Georgios Darivianakis