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This paper studies the estimation and inference of treatment effects in panel data settings when treatments change dynamically over time. We propose a balancing method that allows for (i) treatments to be assigned dynamically over time…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-24 Davide Viviano , Jelena Bradic

We provide an approach to exploratory data analysis in matched observational studies with a single intervention and multiple endpoints. In such settings, the researcher would like to explore evidence for actual treatment effects among these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Mengqi Lin , Colin Fogarty

Typically, a randomized experiment is designed to test a hypothesis about the average treatment effect and sometimes hypotheses about treatment effect variation. The results of such a study may then be used to inform policy and practice for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Elizabeth Tipton , Michalis Mamakos

Existing statistical methods for the analysis of micro-randomized trials (MRTs) are designed to estimate causal excursion effects using data from a single MRT. In practice, however, researchers can often find previous MRTs that employ…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Easton Huch , Inbal Nahum-Shani , Lindsey Potter , Cho Lam , David W. Wetter , Walter Dempsey

The presence of units with extreme values in the dependent and/or independent variables (i.e., vertical outliers, leveraged data) has the potential to severely bias regression coefficients and/or standard errors. This is common with short…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-12 Annalivia Polselli

Shared controls in platform trials comprise concurrent and non-concurrent controls. For a given experimental arm, non-concurrent controls refer to data from patients allocated to the control arm before the arm enters the trial. The use of…

In data analysis, unexpected results often prompt researchers to revisit their procedures to identify potential issues. While some researchers may struggle to identify the root causes, experienced researchers can often quickly diagnose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-06 H. Sherry Zhang , Roger D. Peng

The treatment effects of the same therapy observed from multiple clinical trials can often be very different. Yet the patient characteristics accounting for these differences may not be identifiable in real world practice. There needs to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-20 Tinghui Yu , Yabing Mai , Sherry Liu , Xiaofei Hu

Data collected in clinical trials are often composed of multiple types of variables. For example, laboratory measurements and vital signs are longitudinal data of continuous or categorical variables, adverse events may be recurrent events,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-12 Tuo Wang , Rachel Zilinskas , Ying Li , Yongming Qu

In nutritional and environmental epidemiology, exposures are impractical to measure accurately, while practical measures for these exposures are often subject to substantial measurement error. Regression calibration is among the most used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Zexiang Li , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang , Zuoheng Wang , Xin Zhou

We develop a method for hybrid analyses that uses external controls to augment internal control arms in randomized controlled trials (RCT) where the degree of borrowing is determined based on similarity between RCT and external control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-11 Evan Kwiatkowski , Jiawen Zhu , Xiao Li , Herbert Pang , Grazyna Lieberman , Matthew A. Psioda

When choosing estimands and estimators in randomized clinical trials, caution is warranted as intercurrent events, such as - due to patients who switch treatment after disease progression, are often extreme. Statistical analyses may then…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-03-13 Hege Michiels , An Vandebosch , Stijn Vansteelandt

There is a growing interest in the implementation of platform trials, which provide the flexibility to incorporate new treatment arms during the trial and the ability to halt treatments early based on lack of benefit or observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-25 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov

Heterogeneous treatment effects can be very important in the analysis of randomized clinical trials. Heightened risks or enhanced benefits may exist for particular subsets of study subjects. When the heterogeneous treatment effects are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Richard A. Berk , Matthew Olson , Andreas Buja , Aurelie Ouss

Understanding and quantifying cause and effect is an important problem in many domains. The generally-agreed solution to this problem is to perform a randomised controlled trial. However, even when randomised controlled trials can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Graham Van Goffrier , Lucas Maystre , Ciarán Gilligan-Lee

Platform trials are a more efficient way of testing multiple treatments compared to running separate trials. In this paper we consider platform trials where, if a treatment is found to be superior to the control, it will become the new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-30 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov

Unmeasured confounding presents a significant challenge in causal inference from observational studies. Classical approaches often rely on collecting proxy variables, such as instrumental variables. However, in applications where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-16 Xiaochuan Shi , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

We consider the challenges associated with causal inference in settings where data from a randomized trial is augmented with control data from an external source to improve efficiency in estimating the average treatment effect (ATE).…

Estimating causal effects from randomized experiments is central to clinical research. Reducing the statistical uncertainty in these analyses is an important objective for statisticians. Registries, prior trials, and health records…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Alejandro Schuler , David Walsh , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding