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We consider an original problem that arises from the issue of security analysis of a power system and that we name optimal discovery with probabilistic expert advice. We address it with an algorithm based on the optimistic paradigm and on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-04-02 Sebastien Bubeck , Damien Ernst , Aurelien Garivier

A differentially private selection algorithm outputs from a finite set the item that approximately maximizes a data-dependent quality function. The most widely adopted mechanisms tackling this task are the pioneering exponential mechanism…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-08-05 Gonzalo Munilla Garrido , Florian Matthes

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We show that, in a resource allocation problem, the ex ante aggregate utility of players with cumulative-prospect-theoretic preferences can be increased over deterministic allocations by implementing lotteries. We formulate an optimization…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-07 Soham R. Phade , Venkat Anantharam

A rational approximation by a ratio of polynomial functions is a flexible alternative to polynomial approximation. In particular, rational functions exhibit accurate estimations to nonsmooth and non- Lipschitz functions, where polynomial…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-27 V. Peiris , N. Sharon , N. Sukhorukova J. Ugon

Rough stochastic volatility models have attracted a lot of attentions recently, in particular for the linear option pricing problem. In this paper, starting with power utilities, we propose to use a martingale distortion representation of…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-12 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

We consider randomized mechanisms with optional participation. Preferences over lotteries are modeled using skew-symmetric bilinear (SSB) utility functions, a generalization of classic von Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions. We show that…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2015-08-17 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt , Johannes Hofbauer

We study optimization problems in which a linear functional is maximized over probability measures that are dominated by a given measure according to an integral stochastic order in an arbitrary dimension. We show that the following four…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-13 Frank Yang , Kai Hao Yang

We study the problem of minimizing the Wasserstein distance between a probability distribution and an algebraic variety. We consider the setting of finite state spaces and describe the solution depending on the choice of the ground metric…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-15 T. Ö. Çelik , A. Jamneshan , G. Montúfar , B. Sturmfels , L. Venturello

Ranking data arises in a wide variety of application areas but remains difficult to model, learn from, and predict. Datasets often exhibit multimodality, intransitivity, or incomplete rankings---particularly when generated by humans---yet…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-29 Stephen Ragain , Johan Ugander

We propose the use of probability models for ranked data as a useful alternative to a quantitative data analysis to investigate the outcome of bioassay experiments, when the preliminary choice of an appropriate normalization method for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-08 Cristina Mollica , Luca Tardella

The Plackett--Luce model has been extensively used for rank aggregation in social choice theory. A central statistical question in this model concerns estimating the utility vector that governs the model's likelihood. In this paper, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-09 Ruijian Han , Yiming Xu

We introduce a linear space of finitely additive measures to treat the problem of optimal expected utility from consumption under a stochastic clock and an unbounded random endowment process. In this way we establish existence and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 Gordan Zitkovic

In this paper we study a robust utility maximization problem in continuous time under model uncertainty. The model uncertainty is governed by a continuous semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-04 David Criens , Lars Niemann

We introduce a linear space of finitely additive measures to treat the problem of optimal expected utility from consumption under a stochastic clock and an unbounded random endowment process. In this way we establish existence and…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Gordan Zitkovic

Stochastic economic dispatch models address uncertainties in forecasts of renewable generation output by considering a finite number of realizations drawn from a stochastic process model, typically via Monte Carlo sampling. Accurate…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-08-24 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. -Y. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-Paul Watson

We provide a general theoretical analysis of expected out-of-sample utility, also referred to as decision-theoretic classification, for non-decomposable binary classification metrics such as F-measure and Jaccard coefficient. Our key result…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-05-08 Nagarajan Natarajan , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Pradeep Ravikumar , Inderjit S. Dhillon

The random utility model (RUM, McFadden and Richter, 1990) has been the standard tool to describe the behavior of a population of decision makers. RUM assumes that decision makers behave as if they maximize a rational preference over a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-05 Victor H. Aguiar , Maria Jose Boccardi , Nail Kashaev , Jeongbin Kim

Incomplete preferences provide the epistemic foundation for models of imprecise subjective probabilities and utilities that are used in robust Bayesian analysis and in theories of bounded rationality. This paper presents a simple…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Robert Nau

The ranking and selection problem is a popular framework in the simulation literature for studying optimal information collection. We study a version of this problem in which the simulation output for each design is normally distributed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-03 Jianzhong Du , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Siyang Gao