中文
相关论文

相关论文: Earthquake magnitudes depend on seismic history, a…

200 篇论文

The understanding of long-distance relations between seismic activities has for long been of interest to seismologists and geologists. In this paper we have used data from the world-wide earthquake catalog for the period between 1972 and…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Douglas S. R. Ferreira , Andrés Papa , Ronaldo Menezes

Earthquakes occur because of abrupt slips on faults due to accumulated stress in the Earth's crust. Because most of these faults and their mechanisms are not readily apparent, deterministic earthquake prediction is difficult. For effective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Yosihiko Ogata

In the aftermath of major earthquakes, evaluating structural and infrastructural damage is vital for coordinating post-disaster response efforts. This includes assessing damage's extent and spatial distribution to prioritize rescue…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-30 Anurag Panda , Gaurav Kumar Yadav

The area-characteristic, maximum possible earthquake magnitude $T_M$ is required by the earthquake engineering community, disaster management agencies and the insurance industry. The Gutenberg-Richter law predicts that earthquake magnitudes…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-19 Jan Beirlant , Andrzej Kijko , Tom Reynkens , John H. J. Einmahl

Scientists mapped the seismic time series into networks by considering the geographical location of events as nodes and establishing links between the nodes with different rules. Applying the successive defined laws to construct the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-07-26 Nastaran Lotfi

We propose a new version of the ETAS model, which we also analyze theoretically. As for the standard ETAS model, we assume the Gutenberg-Richter law as a probability density function for background events' magnitude. Instead, the magnitude…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-23 Ilaria Spassiani , Giovanni Sebastiani

Efficient simulation is essential for enhancing proactive preparedness for sudden-onset disasters such as earthquakes. Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) as world models show promise in simulating complex scenarios. This…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Lingyao Li , Dawei Li , Zhenhui Ou , Xiaoran Xu , Jingxiao Liu , Zihui Ma , Runlong Yu , Min Deng

We present a new method of data clustering applied to earthquake catalogs, with the goal of reconstructing the seismically active part of fault networks. We first use an original method to separate clustered events from uncorrelated…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Extending the central concept of recurrence times for a point process to recurrent events in space-time allows us to characterize seismicity as a record breaking process using only spatiotemporal relations among events. Linking record…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Joern Davidsen , Peter Grassberger , Maya Paczuski

Seismic waveforms contain rich information about earthquake processes, making effective data analysis crucial for earthquake monitoring, source characterization, and seismic hazard assessment. With rapid developments in deep learning, the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-06-10 Weiqiang Zhu , Junhao Song , Haoyu Wang , Jannes Münchmeyer

Over the past decades much effort has been devoted towards understanding and forecasting natural hazards. However, earthquake forecasting skill is still very limited and remains a great scientific challenge. The limited earthquake…

Point processes have been dominant in modeling the evolution of seismicity for decades, with the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model being most popular. Recent advances in machine learning have constructed highly flexible point…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-10-04 Samuel Stockman , Daniel J. Lawson , Maximilian J. Werner

Computational earthquake sequence models provide generative estimates of the time, location, and size of synthetic seismic events that can be compared with observed earthquake histories and assessed as rupture forecasts. Here we describe a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-04-17 Brendan J. Meade

Deep learning is fast emerging as a potential disruptive tool to tackle longstanding research problems across the sciences. Notwithstanding its success across disciplines, the recent trend of the overuse of deep learning is concerning to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-09 Umair bin Waheed , Ahmed Shaheen , Mike Fehler , Ben Fulcher

In the present paper we have conducted studies on seismological properties using worldwide data of deep earthquakes (depth larger than 70 km), considering events with magnitude $m \geq 4.5$. We have addressed the problem under the…

Currently, one of the best performing and most popular earthquake forecasting models rely on the working hypothesis that: "locations of past background earthquakes reveal the probable location of future seismicity". As an alternative, we…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette , Stefan Wiemer

Earthquakes are one of the most devastating natural disasters that plague society. A skilled, reliable earthquake forecasting remains the ultimate goal for seismologists. Using the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and conditional…

The computationally expensive estimation of engineering demand parameters (EDPs) via finite element (FE) models, while considering earthquake and parameter uncertainty limits the use of the Performance Based Earthquake Engineering…

Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes. In order to use them for this task, it is necessary to…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alvaro Gonzalez , Miguel Vazquez-Prada , Javier B. Gomez , Amalio F. Pacheco

It is well accepted that, at the global scale, the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law describing the distribution of earthquake magnitude or seismic moment has to be modified at the tail to properly account for the most extreme events. It is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-11-10 Alvaro Corral , Isabel Serra