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The statistics of earthquakes in a heterogeneous fault zone is studied analytically and numerically in the mean field version of a model for a segmented fault system in a three-dimensional elastic solid. The studies focus on the interplay…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Karin Dahmen , Deniz Ertas , Yehuda Ben-Zion

A prominent feature of earthquakes is their empirical laws including memory (clustering) in time and space. Several earthquake forecasting models, like the EpidemicType Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, were developed based on earthquake…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-03-30 Yongwen Zhang , Dong Zhou , Jingfang Fan , Warner Marzocchi , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

While deep learning models have seen recent high uptake in the geosciences, and are appealing in their ability to learn from minimally processed input data, as black box models they do not provide an easy means to understand how a decision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Akshat Goel , Denise Gorse

Earthquakes cannot be predicted with precision, but algorithms exist for intermediate-term middle range prediction of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold, based on seismicity patterns. Few years ago, a first attempt was made in the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-03-07 G. F. Panza , A. Peresan , F. Sansò , M. Crespi , A. Mazzoni , A. Nascetti

Earthquake phenomenology exhibits a number of power law distributions including the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics and the Omori law for aftershock decay rates. In search for a basic model that renders correct predictions on…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion

This paper develops a novel method, based on hidden Markov models, to forecast earthquakes and applies the method to mainshock seismic activity in southern California and western Nevada. The forecasts are of the probability of a mainshock…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-21 Daniel W. Chambers , Jenny A. Baglivo , John E. Ebel , Alan L. Kafka

Earthquake signals are non-stationary in nature and thus in real-time, it is difficult to identify and classify events based on classical approaches like peak ground displacement, peak ground velocity. Even the popular algorithm of STA/LTA…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-19 Tonumoy Mukherjee , Chandrani Singh , Prabir Kumar Biswas

Deep learning enhances earthquake monitoring capabilities by mining seismic waveforms directly. However, current neural networks, trained within specific areas, face challenges in generalizing to diverse regions. Here, we employ a data…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-10-04 Xiong Zhang , Miao Zhang

Amongst the available technologies for earthquake research, remote sensing has been commonly used due to its unique features such as fast imaging and wide image-acquisition range. Nevertheless, early studies on pre-earthquake and…

We present a model for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes of magnitudes m > 4.95 in Italy. The model, a slightly modified version of the one proposed for California by Helmstetter et al. (2007) and Werner et al. (2010),…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-07-26 M. J. Werner , A. Helmstetter , D. D. Jackson , Y. Y. Kagan , S. Wiemer

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

Seismograms, the fundamental seismic records, have revolutionized earthquake research and monitoring. Recent advancements in deep learning have further enhanced seismic signal processing, leading to even more precise and effective…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-03-08 Sen Li , Xu Yang , Anye Cao , Changbin Wang , Yaoqi Liu , Yapeng Liu , Qiang Niu

Developing a rapid, but also reliable and efficient, method for classifying the seismic damage potential of buildings constructed in countries with regions of high seismicity is always at the forefront of modern scientific research. Such a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Konstantinos Kostinakis , Konstantinos Morfidis , Konstantinos Demertzis , Lazaros Iliadis

The possibility of earthquake prediction is one of the key open questions in modern geophysics. We propose an approach based on the analysis of common short-term candidate precursors (2 weeks to 3 months prior to strong earthquake) with the…

综合物理 · 物理学 2015-03-20 Yuriy S. Polyakov , Gennadiy V. Ryabinin , Anna B. Solovyeva , Serge F. Timashev

Ground-motion prediction equations (GMPE) are essential in probabilistic seismic hazard studies for estimating the ground motions generated by the seismic sources. In low seismicity regions, only weak motions are available in the lifetime…

Gravitational wave observatories have always been affected by tele-seismic earthquakes leading to a decrease in duty cycle and coincident observation time. In this analysis, we leverage the power of machine learning algorithms and archival…

The advanced machine learning algorithm NESTORE (Next STrOng Related Earthquake) was developed to forecast strong aftershocks in earthquake sequences and has been successfully tested in Italy, western Slovenia, Greece, and California.…

In this paper we present an approach for forecasting the imminent regional seismic activity by using geomagnetic data and Earth tide data. The time periods of seismic activity are the time periods around the Sun-Moon extreme of the diurnal…

In this paper, we used the Global Catalog of the National Earthquake Information Center US Geological Survey (NEIC USGS) for analysis of the magnitude-frequency distribution of earthquakes. We selected the unimodal part of the distribution…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-12-03 A. V. Guglielmi

Earthquakes are a complex spatiotemporal phenomenon, the underlying mechanism for which is still not fully understood despite decades of research and analysis. We propose and develop a network approach to earthquake events. In this network,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Joel N. Tenenbaum , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley