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We propose a novel definition of selection bias in analytic epidemiology using potential outcomes. This definition captures selection bias under both the structural approach (where conditioning on selection into the study opens a noncausal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah

Using administrative patient-care data such as Electronic Health Records (EHR) and medical/ pharmaceutical claims for population-based scientific research has become increasingly common. With vast sample sizes leading to very small standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-21 Ritoban Kundu , Xu Shi , Jean Morrison , Jessica Barrett , Bhramar Mukherjee

Probabilistic machine learning models are often insufficient to help with decisions on interventions because those models find correlations - not causal relationships. If observational data is only available and experimentation are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-13 Marios Papamichalis , Abhishek Ray , Ilias Bilionis , Karthik Kannan , Rajiv Krishnamurthy

Background: Researchers typically identify pregnancies in healthcare data based on observed outcomes (e.g., delivery). This outcome-based approach misses pregnancies that received prenatal care but whose outcomes were not recorded (e.g.,…

Over the last decades, many prognostic models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been used to provide detailed predictions in healthcare. Unfortunately, the real-world observational data used to train and validate these models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Alice Bernasconi , Alessio Zanga , Peter J. F. Lucas , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Causal analysis may be affected by selection bias, which is defined as the systematic exclusion of data from a certain subpopulation. Previous work in this area focused on the derivation of identifiability conditions. We propose instead a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-03 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas , David Huber , Dario Azzimonti

Assume that cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic graph and the corresponding linear structural equation model.We consider the identification problem of total effects in the presence of latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-18 Zhihong Cai , Manabu Kuroki

Nonignorable missing outcomes are common in real world datasets and often require strong parametric assumptions to achieve identification. These assumptions can be implausible or untestable, and so we may forgo them in favour of partially…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-19 Daniel Daly-Grafstein , Paul Gustafson

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

Missing data is a pervasive problem in epidemiology, with multiple imputation (MI) a commonly used analysis method. MI is valid when data are missing at random (MAR). However, definitions of MAR with multiple incomplete variables are not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Paul Madley-Dowd , Rachael A. Hughes , Maya B. Mathur , Jon Heron , Kate Tilling

In many applications, it is of interest to identify a parsimonious set of features, or panel, from multiple candidates that achieves a desired level of performance in predicting a response. This task is often complicated in practice by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-23 B. D. Williamson , Y. Huang

This paper provides a nonparametric framework for causal inference with categorical outcomes under binary treatment and binary instrument settings. I decompose the observed joint probability of outcomes and treatment into marginal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Onil Boussim

Most causal inference methods focus on estimating marginal average treatment effects, but many important causal estimands depend on the joint distribution of potential outcomes, including the probability of causation and proportions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-16 Zach Shahn , David Madigan

We study fairness in supervised few-shot meta-learning models that are sensitive to discrimination (or bias) in historical data. A machine learning model trained based on biased data tends to make unfair predictions for users from minority…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-25 Chen Zhao , Feng Chen

Mediation analysis seeks to identify and quantify the paths by which an exposure affects an outcome. Intermediate variables which are effected by the exposure and which effect the outcome are known as mediators. There exists extensive work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-13 James P. Long , Ehsan Irajizad , James D. Doecke , Kim-Anh Do , Min Jin Ha

Predictive or treatment selection biomarkers are usually evaluated in a subgroup or regression analysis with focus on the treatment-by-marker interaction. Under a potential outcome framework (Huang, Gilbert and Janes [Biometrics 68 (2012)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-02-04 Zhiwei Zhang , Lei Nie , Guoxing Soon , Aiyi Liu

Electronic health records are a valuable data source for investigating health-related questions, and propensity score analysis has become an increasingly popular approach to address confounding bias in such investigations. However, because…

Model-based clustering integrated with variable selection is a powerful tool for uncovering latent structures within complex data. However, its effectiveness is often hindered by challenges such as identifying relevant variables that define…

Selection bias is a common concern in epidemiologic studies. In the literature, selection bias is often viewed as a missing data problem. Popular approaches to adjust for bias due to missing data, such as inverse probability weighting, rely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-16 Apostolos Gkatzionis , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Jon Heron , Kate Northstone , Kate Tilling

Observational studies are valuable tools for inferring causal effects in the absence of controlled experiments. However, these studies may be biased due to the presence of some relevant, unmeasured set of covariates. One approach to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 William Bekerman , Abhinandan Dalal , Carlo del Ninno , Dylan S. Small
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