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In this work we demonstrate the possibility of estimating the wind environment of a UAV without specialised sensors, using only the UAV's trajectory, applying a causal machine learning approach. We implement the causal curiosity method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Abdulaziz Alwalan , Miguel Arana-Catania

This paper proposes a novel computationally efficient dynamic bi-orthogonality based approach for calibration of a computer simulator with high dimensional parametric and model structure uncertainty. The proposed method is based on a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-14 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Existing work in multi-agent collision prediction and avoidance typically assumes discrete-time trajectories with Gaussian uncertainty or that are completely deterministic. We propose an approach that allows detection of collisions even…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-05-13 Jan-Peter Calliess , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

A monotonic, non-kernel density variant of the density-matching technique for optimization under uncertainty is developed. The approach is suited for turbomachinery problems which, by and large, tend to exhibit monotonic variations in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Pranay Seshadri , Geoffrey Parks , Shahrokh Shahpar

The problem of statistical inference for open chaotic systems measured with error is complicated by the interaction of the uncertainty introduced by chaos, and the various sources of random or external variation. Here a method of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Michael LuValle

Machine learning models serve critical functions, such as classifying loan applicants as good or bad risks. Each model is trained under the assumption that the data used in training and in the field come from the same underlying unknown…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-23 Eliran Roffe , Samuel Ackerman , Orna Raz , Eitan Farchi

We develop data-driven algorithms to fully automate sensor fault detection in systems governed by underlying physics. The proposed machine learning method uses a time series of typical behavior to approximate the evolution of measurements…

Agent behavior is arguably the greatest source of uncertainty in trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. This problem has motivated significant amounts of work in the behavior prediction community on learning rich distributions of the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-07-16 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

We propose a method to outer bound forward reachable sets on finite horizons for uncertain nonlinear systems with polynomial dynamics. This method makes use of time-dependent polynomial storage functions that satisfy appropriate dissipation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-18 He Yin , Andrew Packard , Murat Arcak , Peter Seiler

Uncertainty is prevalent in robotics. Due to measurement noise and complex dynamics, we cannot estimate the exact system and environment state. Since conservative motion planners are not guaranteed to find a safe control strategy in a…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-22 Laura Lützow , Yue Meng , Andres Chavez Armijos , Chuchu Fan

We address whether complex physical relations can be investigated through the synergy of automated high-volume experiments and the reduction of large datasets to a concise, representative subset of canonical examples -- a "textbook". To…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-02-13 Paolo Olivucci , David E. Rival

Complex engineering systems require integration of simulation of sub-systems and calculation of metrics to drive design decisions. This paper introduces a methodology for designing computational or physical experiments for system-level…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Efe Y. Yarbasi , Dimitri N. Mavris

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

Accurately modeling and verifying the correct operation of systems interacting in dynamic environments is challenging. By leveraging parametric uncertainty within the model description, one can relax the requirement to describe exactly the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-05 Patrick Holmes , Shreyas Kousik , Shankar Mohan , Ram Vasudevan

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

Software engineers often have to estimate the performance of a software system before having full knowledge of the system parameters, such as workload and operational profile. These uncertain parameters inevitably affect the accuracy of…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-01-16 Aldeida Aleti , Catia Trubiani , André van Hoorn , Pooyan Jamshidi

Chaos is widely understood as being a consequence of sensitive dependence upon initial conditions. This is the result of an instability in phase space, which separates trajectories exponentially. Here, we demonstrate that this criterion…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-06-28 Marc Pradas , Alain Pumir , Greg Huber , Michael Wilkinson

When recording the movement of individual animals, cells or molecules one will often observe changes in their diffusive behaviour at certain points in time along their trajectory. In order to capture the different diffusive modes assembled…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-10-21 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

Transonic buffet is a flow instability phenomenon that arises from the interaction between the shock wave and the separated boundary layer. This flow phenomenon is considered to be highly detrimental during flight and poses a significant…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-05 Jing Wang , Hairun Xie , Miao Zhang , Hui Xu

In this letter, we compare three polynomial chaos expansion (PCE)-based methods for ANCOVA (ANalysis of COVAriance) indices based global sensitivity analysis for correlated random inputs in two power system applications. Surprisingly, the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-17 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , François Bouffard