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Learning heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is an important problem across many fields. Most existing methods consider the setting with a single treatment arm and a single outcome metric. However, in many real world domains, experiments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 Leon Yao , Caroline Lo , Israel Nir , Sarah Tan , Ariel Evnine , Adam Lerer , Alex Peysakhovich

Statistical machine learning methods often face the challenge of limited data available from the population of interest. One remedy is to leverage data from auxiliary source populations, which share some conditional distributions or are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Hongxiang Qiu , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Edgar Dobriban

Survival is a key metric for evaluating standards of care for people living with HIV. In resource-limited settings, high rates of loss to follow-up (LTFU) often result in underestimation of mortality when only observed deaths are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Kirsten E. Landsiedel , Rachael V. Phillips , Maya L. Petersen , Mark J. van der Laan

Electronic health records (EHR) data provide a cost and time-effective opportunity to conduct cohort studies of the effects of multiple time-point interventions in the diverse patient population found in real-world clinical settings.…

Longitudinal data often contains outcomes measured at multiple visits and scientific interest may lie in quantifying the effect of an intervention on an outcome's rate of change. For example, one may wish to study the progression (or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Anja Shahu , Weijie Xia , Ying Wei , Daniel Malinsky

For counterfactual policy evaluation, it is important to ensure that treatment parameters are relevant to policies in question. This is especially challenging under unobserved heterogeneity, as is well featured in the definition of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-08 Sukjin Han , Shenshen Yang

We conducted a systematic comparison of statistical methods used for the analysis of time-to-event outcomes under various proportional and nonproportional hazard (NPH) scenarios. Our study used data from recently published oncology trials…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Xinyu Zhang , Erich J. Greene , Ondrej Blaha , Wei Wei

Longitudinal modified treatment policies (LMTP) are a class of interventions that allow the definition, identification, and estimation of causal effects in general settings, such as with continuous or multivariate exposures, treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Iván Díaz , Nicholas T. Williams , Paweł Morzywołek , Kara E. Rudolph

Covariate adjustment is an approach to improve the precision of trial analyses by adjusting for baseline variables that are prognostic of the primary endpoint. Motivated by the SEARCH Universal HIV Test-and-Treat Trial (2013-2017), we tell…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Laura B. Balzer , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

The primary analysis of clinical trials in diabetes therapeutic area often involves a mixed-model repeated measure (MMRM) approach to estimate the average treatment effect for longitudinal continuous outcome, and a generalized linear mixed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-03 Lingjing Jiang , Michael Rosenblum , Yu Du

Introduction: Modelling of relative treatment effects is an important aspect to consider when extrapolating the long-term survival outcomes of treatments. Flexible parametric models offer the ability to accurately model the observed data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Philip Cooney , Arthur White

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcomes has gained increasing attention, as it captures the variation in treatment efficacy across patients or subgroups in delaying disease progression. However, most existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Na Bo , Ying Ding

We investigate estimation of causal effects of multiple competing (multi-valued) treatments in the absence of randomization. Our work is motivated by an intention-to-treat study of the relative cardiometabolic risk of assignment to one of…

Causal inference problems often involve continuous treatments, such as dose, duration, or frequency. However, identifying and estimating standard dose-response estimands requires that everyone has some chance of receiving any level of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Kyle Schindl , Shuying Shen , Edward H. Kennedy

Childhood obesity remains a major public health challenge in the United States, strongly influenced by a combination of individual-level, household-level, and environmental-level risk factors. Traditional epidemiological studies typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Eswarasanthosh Kumar Mamillapalli , Nishtha Sharma

In many clinical contexts, estimating effects of treatment in time-to-event data is complicated not only by confounding, censoring, and heterogeneity, but also by the presence of a cured subpopulation in which the event of interest never…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Yuqi Li , Quinn Lanners , Matthew M. Engelhard

Random-effects models are central to meta-analysis, yet the between-study variance is often underestimated when the number of studies is small. In such settings, confidence intervals become unduly narrow and fail to attain the nominal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Keisuke Hanada , Tomoyuki Sugimoto

A linear mixed-effects (LME) model is proposed for modelling and forecasting single and multi-population age-specific death rates (ASDRs). The innovative approach that we take in this study treats age, the interaction between gender and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Reza Dastranj , Martin Kolar

Targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) is a general method for estimating parameters in semiparametric and nonparametric models. Each iteration of TMLE involves fitting a parametric submodel that targets the parameter of interest. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-03 Iván Díaz , Michael Rosenblum