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Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have been extremely successful in generating samples, from seemingly high dimensional probability measures. However, these methods struggle to capture the temporal dependence of joint probability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Shujian Liao , Hao Ni , Lukasz Szpruch , Magnus Wiese , Marc Sabate-Vidales , Baoren Xiao

Many finance, physics, and engineering phenomena are modeled by continuous-time dynamical systems driven by highly irregular (stochastic) inputs. A powerful tool to perform time series analysis in this context is rooted in rough path theory…

Conditional distribution is a fundamental quantity for describing the relationship between a response and a predictor. We propose a Wasserstein generative approach to learning a conditional distribution. The proposed approach uses a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-21 Shiao Liu , Xingyu Zhou , Yuling Jiao , Jian Huang

This paper is focused on the statistical analysis of data consisting of a collection of multiple series of probability measures that are indexed by distinct time instants and supported over a bounded interval of the real line. By modeling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

The 'signature method' refers to a collection of feature extraction techniques for multivariate time series, derived from the theory of controlled differential equations. There is a great deal of flexibility as to how this method can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 James Morrill , Adeline Fermanian , Patrick Kidger , Terry Lyons

We propose a novel generative model for multivariate discrete-time time series data. Drawing inspiration from the construction of neural spline flows, our algorithm incorporates linear transformations and the signature transform as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-20 Magnus Wiese , Phillip Murray , Ralf Korn

In this paper, we propose a new and unified approach for nonparametric regression and conditional distribution learning. Our approach simultaneously estimates a regression function and a conditional generator using a generative learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-28 Shanshan Song , Tong Wang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

Missing data can significantly hamper standard time series analysis, yet they occur frequently in applications. In this paper, we introduce temporal Wasserstein imputation, a novel method for imputing missing data in time series. Unlike…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-15 Shuo-Chieh Huang , Tengyuan Liang , Ruey S. Tsay

Networks are popular for representing complex data. In particular, differentially private synthetic networks are much in demand for method and algorithm development. The network generator should be easy to implement and should come with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Leoni Carla Wirth , Gholamali Aminian , Gesine Reinert

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

The Sliced-Wasserstein distance (SW) is being increasingly used in machine learning applications as an alternative to the Wasserstein distance and offers significant computational and statistical benefits. Since it is defined as an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-05 Kimia Nadjahi , Alain Durmus , Pierre E. Jacob , Roland Badeau , Umut Şimşekli

The adapted Wasserstein distance is a metric for quantifying distributional uncertainty and assessing the sensitivity of stochastic optimization problems on time series data. A computationally efficient alternative to it, is provided by the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-10 Beatrice Acciaio , Songyan Hou , Gudmund Pammer

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have been used to model the underlying probability distribution of sample based datasets. GANs are notoriuos for training difficulties and their dependence on arbitrary hyperparameters. One recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-03 Thomas Pinetz , Daniel Soukup , Thomas Pock

In this work, we propose a novel generalized Wasserstein-2 distance approach for efficiently training stochastic neural networks to reconstruct random field models, where the target random variable comprises both continuous and categorical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Mingtao Xia , Qijing Shen

Generative Adversarial Nets (GANs) are very successful at modeling distributions from given samples, even in the high-dimensional case. However, their formulation is also known to be hard to optimize and often not stable. While this is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-03-30 Ishan Deshpande , Ziyu Zhang , Alexander Schwing

We provide new convergence guarantees in Wasserstein distance for diffusion-based generative models, covering both stochastic (DDPM-like) and deterministic (DDIM-like) sampling methods. We introduce a simple framework to analyze…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Eliot Beyler , Francis Bach

Data consisting of time-indexed distributions of cross-sectional or intraday returns have been extensively studied in finance, and provide one example in which the data atoms consist of serially dependent probability distributions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Chao Zhang , Piotr Kokoszka , Alexander Petersen

Generating synthetic financial time series data that accurately reflects real-world market dynamics holds tremendous potential for various applications, including portfolio optimization, risk management, and large scale machine learning. We…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-05 Chung I Lu , Julian Sester

Synthetic data is an emerging technology that can significantly accelerate the development and deployment of AI machine learning pipelines. In this work, we develop high-fidelity time-series generators, the SigWGAN, by combining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Hao Ni , Lukasz Szpruch , Marc Sabate-Vidales , Baoren Xiao , Magnus Wiese , Shujian Liao
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