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Thurstonian and Bradley-Terry models are the most commonly applied models in the analysis of paired comparison data. Since their introduction, numerous developments have been proposed in different areas. This paper provides an updated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-04 Manuela Cattelan

We propose a penalized likelihood method to jointly estimate multiple precision matrices for use in quadratic discriminant analysis and model based clustering. A ridge penalty and a ridge fusion penalty are used to introduce shrinkage and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-05-06 Bradley S. Price , Charles J. Geyer , Adam J. Rothman

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

Comparative Judgement is an assessment method where item ratings are estimated based on rankings of subsets of the items. These rankings are typically pairwise, with ratings taken to be the estimated parameters from fitting a Bradley-Terry…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn

There are various parametric models for analyzing pairwise comparison data, including the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) and Thurstone models, but their reliance on strong parametric assumptions is limiting. In this work, we study a flexible…

Many applications, e.g. in content recommendation, sports, or recruitment, leverage the comparisons of alternatives to score those alternatives. The classical Bradley-Terry model and its variants have been widely used to do so. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-23 Julien Fageot , Sadegh Farhadkhani , Lê Nguyên Hoang , Oscar Villemaud

Most statistical models for pairwise comparisons, including the Bradley-Terry (BT) and Thurstone models and many extensions, make a relatively strong assumption of stochastic transitivity. This assumption imposes the existence of an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen

Several methods of preference modeling, ranking, voting and multi-criteria decision making include pairwise comparisons. It is usually simpler to compare two objects at a time, furthermore, some relations (e.g., the outcome of sports…

Paired comparison models, such as the Bradley-Terry (1952) model and its variants, are commonly used to measure competitor strength in games and sports. Extensions have been proposed to account for order effects (e.g., home-field advantage)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Mark E. Glickman

The linear regression model cannot be fitted to high-dimensional data, as the high-dimensionality brings about empirical non-identifiability. Penalized regression overcomes this non-identifiability by augmentation of the loss function by a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Wessel N. van Wieringen

PageRank and the Bradley-Terry model are competing approaches to ranking entities such as teams in sports tournaments or journals in citation networks. The Bradley-Terry model is a classical statistical method for ranking based on paired…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 David Antony Selby

We present ten different strength-based statistical models that we use to model soccer match outcomes with the aim of producing a new ranking. The models are of four main types: Thurstone-Mosteller, Bradley-Terry, Independent Poisson and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-15 Christophe Ley , Tom Van de Wiele , Hans Van Eetvelde

Separation in logistic regression is a common problem causing failure of the iterative estimation process when finding maximum likelihood estimates. Firth's correction (FC) was proposed as a solution, providing estimates also in presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Hana Šinkovec , Angelika Geroldinger , Georg Heinze , Rok Blagus

This paper introduces the Bradley-Terry Regression Trunk model, a novel probabilistic approach for the analysis of preference data expressed through paired comparison rankings. In some cases, it may be reasonable to assume that the…

We consider the estimation accuracy of individual strength parameters of a Thurstone choice model when each input observation consists of a choice of one item from a set of two or more items (so called top-1 lists). This model accommodates…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-02 Milan Vojnovic , Se-Young Yun

We study the ranking of individuals, teams, or objects, based on pairwise comparisons between them, using the Bradley-Terry model. Estimates of rankings within this model are commonly made using a simple iterative algorithm first introduced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-16 M. E. J. Newman

Pairwise comparison methods, such as Fuzzy Preference Relations and Saaty's Multiplicative Preference Relations, are widely used to model expert judgments in multi-criteria decision-making. However, their application is limited by the high…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Diego García-Zamora , Álvaro Labella , José Rui Figueira

Regularized regression has become very popular nowadays, particularly on high-dimensional problems where the addition of a penalty term to the log-likelihood allows inference where traditional methods fail. A number of penalties have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

Prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes has received much recent attention, especially from the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In the real world setting of outcome prediction, the seminal \'{E}l\H{o}…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-01-30 Franz J. Király , Zhaozhi Qian

We compare various extensions of the Bradley-Terry model and a hierarchical Poisson log-linear model in terms of their performance in predicting the outcome of soccer matches (win, draw, or loss). The parameters of the Bradley-Terry…

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