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A directed acyclic graph (DAG) partially represents the conditional independence structure among observations of a system if the local Markov condition holds, that is, if every variable is independent of its non-descendants given its…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2010-10-28 Bastian Steudel , Nihat Ay

We compare weighted sums of i.i.d. positive random variables according to the usual stochastic order. The main inequalities are derived using majorization techniques under certain log-concavity assumptions. Specifically, let $Y_i$ be i.i.d.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-19 Yaming Yu

We consider ordered logit models for directed network data that allow for flexible sender and receiver fixed effects that can vary arbitrarily across outcome categories. This structure poses a significant incidental parameter problem,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-23 Chris Muris , Cavit Pakel , Qichen Zhang

Oracle inequalities and variable selection properties for the Lasso in linear models have been established under a variety of different assumptions on the design matrix. We show in this paper how the different conditions and concepts relate…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-13 Sara A. van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann

This paper develops a general concentration inequality for the suprema of empirical processes with dependent data. The concentration inequality is obtained by combining generic chaining with a coupling-based strategy. Our framework…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-23 Chiara Amorino , Christian Brownlees , Ankita Ghosh

We consider marginal log-linear models for parameterizing distributions on multidimensional contingency tables. These models generalize ordinary log-linear and multivariate logistic models, besides several others. First, we obtain some…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-25 S. Ghosh , P. Vellaisamy

In this paper we present nonparametric estimators for coefficients in stochastic differential equation if the data are described by independent, identically distributed random variables. The problem is formulated as a nonlinear ill-posed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-11-18 Fabian Dunker , Thorsten Hohage

Assume one observes independent categorical variables or, equivalently, one observes the corresponding multinomial variables. Estimating the distribution of the observed sequence amounts to estimating the expectation of the multinomial…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-15 C. Durot , E. Lebarbier , A. -S. Tocquet

The abundance of high-dimensional data in the modern sciences has generated tremendous interest in penalized estimators such as the lasso, scaled lasso, square-root lasso, elastic net, and many others. In this paper, we establish a general…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-14 Johannes Lederer , Lu Yu , Irina Gaynanova

We tackle the problem of estimating a regression function observed in an instrumental regression framework. This model is an inverse problem with unknown operator. We provide a spectral cut-off estimation procedure which enables to derive…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-01-28 Jean-Michel Loubes , Clément Marteau

Partial penalized tests provide flexible approaches to testing linear hypotheses in high dimensional generalized linear models. However, because the estimators used in these tests are local minimizers of potentially non-convex…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-02 Tate Jacobson

In this technical report, we consider conditional density estimation with a maximum likelihood approach. Under weak assumptions, we obtain a theoretical bound for a Kullback-Leibler type loss for a single model maximum likelihood estimate.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-11 Serge Cohen , Erwan Le Pennec

This paper consider penalized empirical loss minimization of convex loss functions with unknown non-linear target functions. Using the elastic net penalty we establish a finite sample oracle inequality which bounds the loss of our estimator…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-13 Mehmet Caner , Anders Bredahl Kock

We show that one can perform causal inference in a natural way for continuous-time scenarios using tools from stochastic analysis. This provides new alternatives to the positivity condition for inverse probability weighting. The probability…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-23 Kjetil Røysland

We consider the segmentation problem of univariate distributions from the exponential family with multiple parameters. In segmentation, the choice of the number of segments remains a difficult issue due to the discrete nature of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-27 Alice Cleynen , Emilie Lebarbier

We propose a new model for nonstationary integer-valued time series which is particularly suitable for data with a strong trend. In contrast to popular Poisson-INGARCH models, but in line with classical GARCH models, we propose to pick the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-28 Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

We propose new ways to compare two latent distributions when only ordinal data are available and without imposing parametric assumptions on the underlying continuous distributions. First, we contribute identification results. We show how…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-10 David M. Kaplan , Wei Zhao

Inferring the causal structure that links n observables is usually based upon detecting statistical dependences and choosing simple graphs that make the joint measure Markovian. Here we argue why causal inference is also possible when only…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-04-24 Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf

We extend well-known comparative results under expected utility to models of non-expected utility by providing novel conditions on local utility functions. We illustrate how our results parallel, and are distinct from, existing results for…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-16 Collin Raymond , Yangwei Song

Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. The key point is that this can be understood in terms of Girsanov's…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-07-15 Kjetil Røysland