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Integrating renewable energy into the modern power grid requires risk-cognizant dispatch of resources to account for the stochastic availability of renewables. Toward this goal, day-ahead stochastic market clearing with high-penetration…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-17 Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

The availability of historical data related to electricity day-ahead prices and to the underlying price formation process is limited. In addition, the electricity market in Europe is facing a rapid transformation, which limits the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Raffaele Sgarlato

The ongoing energy transition drives the development of decentralised renewable energy sources, which are heterogeneous and weather-dependent, complicating their integration into energy systems. This study tackles this issue by introducing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Marine Cauz , Adrien Bolland , Nicolas Wyrsch , Christophe Ballif

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

In day-ahead electricity markets based on uniform marginal pricing, small variations in the offering and bidding curves may substantially modify the resulting market outcomes. In this work, we deal with the problem of finding the optimal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-01 António Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

In pursuit of carbon neutrality, many countries have adopted renewable portfolio standards to facilitate the integration of renewable energy. However, increasing penetration of renewable energy resources will also pose higher requirements…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-27 Wenli Wu , Ye Guo , Jiantao Shi

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

The adoption of deep learning across various fields has been extensive, yet there is a lack of focus on evaluating the performance of deep learning pipelines. Typically, with the increased use of large datasets and complex models, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Yewen Fan , Nian Si , Xiangchen Song , Kun Zhang

Two-stage robust unit commitment (RUC) models have been widely used for day-ahead energy and reserve scheduling under high renewable integration. The current state of the art relies on budget-constrained polyhedral uncertainty sets to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-14 Alexandre Velloso , Alexandre Street , David Pozo , José M. Arroyo , Noemi G. Cobos

The increasing demand for electricity and the aging infrastructure of power distribution systems have raised significant concerns about future system reliability. Failures in distribution systems, closely linked to system usage and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-21 Gejia Zhang , Robert Mieth

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

Accurate load forecasting serves as the foundation for the flexible operation of multi-energy systems (MES). Multi-energy loads are tightly coupled and exhibit significant uncertainties. Many works focus on enhancing forecasting accuracy by…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-17 Yangze Zhou , Qingsong Wen , Jie Song , Xueyuan Cui , Yi Wang

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

In countries with an extended use of district heating (DH), the integrated operation of DH and power systems can increase the flexibility of the power system achieving a higher integration of renewable energy sources (RES). DH operators can…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-30 Ignacio Blanco , Daniela Guericke , Anders N. Andersen , Henrik Madsen

A new realized conditional autoregressive Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the original quantile regression model. The framework is further extended by employing various Expected…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-18 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Qian Chen

This paper proposes a novel single-level robust mathematical approach to model the RES-only Virtual Power Plant (RVPP) bidding problem in the simultaneous Day Ahead Market (DAM) and Secondary Reserve Market (SRM). The worst-case profit of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-06 Hadi Nemati , Pedro Sánchez-Martín , Ana Baringo , Álvaro Ortega

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has revolutionized quantitative trading (Q-trading) by achieving decent performance without significant human expert knowledge. Despite its achievements, we observe that the current state-of-the-art DRL…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Zhiming Li , Junzhe Jiang , Yushi Cao , Aixin Cui , Bozhi Wu , Bo Li , Yang Liu , Danny Dongning Sun

While the space of renewable energy forecasting has received significant attention in the last decade, literature has primarily focused on machine learning models that train on only one objective at a time. A host of classification (and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-31 Aswin Kannan

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

We consider some crucial problems related to the secure and reliable operation of power systems with high renewable penetrations: how much reserve should we procure, how should reserve resources distribute among different locations, and how…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-19 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun