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We consider a repeated auction where the buyer's utility for an item depends on the time that elapsed since his last purchase. We present an algorithm to build the optimal bidding policy, and then, because optimal might be impractical, we…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-04 Benjamin Heymann , Alexandre Gilotte , Rémi Chan-Renous

This paper studies how uncertainty about problem difficulty shapes problem-solving strategies. I develop a dynamic model where an agent solves a problem by brainstorming approaches of unknown quality and allocating a fixed effort budget…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-02 Nicholas Wu

A researcher observes a finite sequence of choices made by multiple agents in a binary-state environment. Agents maximize expected utilities that depend on their chosen alternative and the unknown underlying state. Agents learn about the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-05-11 Rahul Deb , Ludovic Renou

We study the voting game where agents' preferences are endogenously decided by the information they receive, and they can collaborate in a group. We show that strategic voting behaviors have a positive impact on leading to the ``correct''…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Qishen Han , Grant Schoenebeck , Biaoshuai Tao , Lirong Xia

Accurately modeling human decision-making in security is critical to thinking about when, why, and how to recommend that users adopt certain secure behaviors. In this work, we conduct behavioral economics experiments to model the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-05-18 Elissa M. Redmiles , Michelle L. Mazurek , John P. Dickerson

This paper studies a search problem where a consumer is initially aware of only a few products. At every point in time, the consumer then decides between searching among alternatives he is already aware of and discovering more products. I…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-21 Rafael P. Greminger

Motivated by online platforms such as job markets, we study an agent choosing from a list of candidates, each with a hidden quality that determines match value. The agent observes only a noisy ranking of the candidates plus a binary signal…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Kate Donahue , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier

This paper studies dynamic asset allocation with interest rate risk and several sources of ambiguity. The market consists of a risk-free asset, a zero-coupon bond (both determined by a Vasicek model), and a stock. There is ambiguity about…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-10-30 Julian Hölzermann

During interactions with human consultants, people are used to providing partial and/or inaccurate information, and still be understood and assisted. We attempt to emulate this capability of human consultants; in computer consultation…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Bhavani Raskutti , Ingrid Zukerman

In the classical Bayesian persuasion model an informed player and an uninformed one engage in a static interaction. The informed player, the sender, knows the state of nature, while the uninformed one, the receiver, does not. The informed…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-30 Ehud Lehrer , Dimitry Shaiderman

We study the classical discursive dilemma from the point of view of finding the best decision rule according to a quantitative criterion, under very mild restrictions on the set of admissible rules. The members of the deciding committee are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-25 Aureli Alabert , Mercè Farré , Rubén Montes

We study the problem of eliciting the preferences of a decision-maker through a moderate number of pairwise comparison queries to make them a high quality recommendation for a specific problem. We are motivated by applications in high…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-09 Phebe Vayanos , Yingxiao Ye , Duncan McElfresh , John Dickerson , Eric Rice

Logics for resource-bounded agents have been getting more and more attention in recent years since they provide us with more realistic tools for modelling and reasoning about multi-agent systems. While many existing approaches are based on…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Vitaliy Dolgorukov , Rustam Galimullin , Maksim Gladyshev

In financial markets, agents often mutually influence each other's investment strategies and adjust their strategies to align with others. However, there is limited quantitative study of agents' investment strategies in such scenarios. In…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-27 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

We consider a popular model of microeconomics with countably many assets: the Arbitrage Pricing Model. We study the problem of optimal investment under an expected utility criterion and look for conditions ensuring the existence of optimal…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-07-19 Miklos Rasonyi

We study linear-quadratic games of incomplete information with Gaussian uncertainty, where each player's payoff depends on a privately observed type and a common state. The designer observes the state, elicits types, and sells action…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Alessandro Bonatti , Munther A. Dahleh , Thibaut Horel

We present an anytime algorithm which computes policies for decision problems represented as multi-stage influence diagrams. Our algorithm constructs policies incrementally, starting from a policy which makes no use of the available…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Michael C. Horsch , David L. Poole

Most cost-benefit analyses assume that the estimates of costs and benefits are more or less accurate and unbiased. But what if, in reality, estimates are highly inaccurate and biased? Then the assumption that cost-benefit analysis is a…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-07 Bent Flyvbjerg , Dirk W. Bester

The optimal portfolio size for a venture capital (VC) fund is a topic often debated, but there is no consensus on the best strategy. This is because it is a function of many factors. It is not easy to find a general formula that can be…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-03-21 Francesco Farina , Mike Arpaia , Harpal Khing , Jonas Vetterle

Financial portfolio optimization is a widely studied problem in mathematics, statistics, financial and computational literature. It adheres to determining an optimal combination of weights associated with financial assets held in a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-01-21 Ankit Dangi