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相关论文: Locational Marginal Prices Obey DC Circuit Laws

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We consider the problem of optimal trading for a power producer in the context of intraday electricity markets. The aim is to minimize the imbalance cost induced by the random residual demand in electricity, i.e. the consumption from the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-11-27 René Aïd , Pierre Gruet , Huyên Pham

We propose a price impact model where changes in prices are purely driven by the order flow in the market. The stochastic price impact of market orders and the arrival rates of limit and market orders are functions of the market liquidity…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-12-18 Peter Bank , Álvaro Cartea , Laura Körber

The trend in the electric power system is to move towards increased amounts of distributed resources which suggests a transition from the current highly centralized to a more distributed control structure. In this paper, we propose a method…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-17 Javad Mohammadi , Soummya Kar , Gabriela Hug

Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into electricity…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-05-27 Rene Carmona , Michael Coulon , Daniel Schwarz

We study historical calibration of one- and two-factor models that are known to describe relatively well the dynamics of energy underlyings such as spot and index natural gas or oil prices at different physical locations or regional power…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-11-23 Josh Gray , Konstantin Palamarchuk

Regulators and utilities have been exploring hourly retail electricity pricing, with several existing programs providing day-ahead hourly pricing schedules. At the same time, customers are deploying distributed energy resources and smart…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-11 Phillippe K. Phanivong , Duncan S. Callaway

Electricity prices in liberalized markets are determined by the supply and demand for electric power, which are in turn driven by various external influences that vary strongly in time. In perfect competition, the merit order principle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-12 Julius Trebbien , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Aaron Praktiknjo , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

In this paper we investigate predictability of electricity prices in the Canadian provinces of Alberta and Ontario, as well as in the US Mid-C market. Using scale-dependent detrended fluctuation analysis, spectral analysis, and the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-01 Olga Y. Uritskaya , Vadim M. Uritsky

The implementation of electricity markets based on locational marginal pricing in a multi-settlement process has allowed wholesale competition, with pricing mechanisms that incentivize the optimal allocation of generation, transmission, and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-29 Veronica R. Bosquezfoti , Andrew L. Liu

This article provides a simple explanation of the asymptotic concavity of the price impact of a meta-order via the microstructural properties of the market. This explanation is made more precise by a model in which the local relationship…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-12-15 Sergey Nadtochiy

Current state-of-the-art solution techniques for solving bilevel optimization problems either assume strong problem regularity criteria or are computationally intractable. In this paper we address power system problems of bilevel structure,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-21 Domagoj Vlah , Karlo Šepetanc , Hrvoje Pandžić

The presence of integer variables in the European day-ahead electricity market renders the social welfare maximization problem non-convex and non-differentiable, making classical marginal pricing theoretically inconsistent. Existing pricing…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-27 Zhen Wang , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , Shudian Zhao , Jan Kronqvist

Classical time series models have serious difficulties in modeling and forecasting the enormous fluctuations of electricity spot prices. Markov regime switch models belong to the most often used models in the electricity literature. These…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-02 Dominik Liebl

As operators acting on the undetermined final settlement of a derivative security, expectation is linear but price is non-linear. When the market of underlying securities is incomplete, non-linearity emerges from the bid-offer around the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-23 Paul McCloud

Chance-constrained optimization has emerged as a promising framework for managing uncertainties in power systems. This work advances its application to the DC Optimal Power Flow (DC-OPF) model, developing a novel approach to uncertainty…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-18 Tianyang Yi , D. Adrian Maldonado , Anirudh Subramanyam

In the context of nonlinear prices, the empirical evidence suggests that the consumers have cognitive biases represented in a limited understanding of nonlinear price structures, and they respond to some alternative perceptions of the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-22 Diego Alejandro Murillo Taborda

Demand response (DR) leverages demand-side flexibility, offering a promising approach to enhance market conditions like mitigating wholesale price spikes. However, poorly chosen DR locations can inadvertently increase electricity prices.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-06 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Tao Feng , Yize Chen

As the adoption of distributed energy resources grows, power systems are becoming increasingly complex and vulnerable to disruptions, such as natural disasters and cyber-physical threats. Peer-to-peer (P2P) energy markets offer a practical…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-03 Hamed Haggi , Wei Sun

This paper finds near equilibrium prices for electricity markets with nonconvexities due to binary variables, in order to reduce the market participants' opportunity costs, such as generators' unrecovered costs. The opportunity cost is…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-02-20 Hassan Shavandi , Mehrdad Pirnia , J. David Fuller