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In this article we propose a novel MCMC method based on deterministic transformations T: X x D --> X where X is the state-space and D is some set which may or may not be a subset of X. We refer to our new methodology as Transformation-based…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Somak Dutta , Sourabh Bhattacharya

A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Monte Carlo (MC) simulations of transport in random porous networks indicate that for high variances of the log-normal permeability distribution, the transport of a passive tracer is non-Fickian. Here we model this non-Fickian dispersion in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-08-01 Amir H. Delgoshaie , Patrick Jenny , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

We provide the first complete continuous time framework for denoising diffusion models of discrete data. This is achieved by formulating the forward noising process and corresponding reverse time generative process as Continuous Time Markov…

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

Inference for continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) becomes challenging when the process is only observed at discrete time points. The exact likelihood is intractable, and existing methods often struggle even in medium-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Tao Tang , Lachlan Astfalck , David Dunson

Every probability distribution can be approximated up to a given precision by a phase-type distribution, i.e. a distribution encoded by a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC). However, an excessive number of states in the corresponding CTMC…

性能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-01 Ľuboš Korenčiak , Jan Krčál , Vojtěch Řehák

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

In this article, we propose a novel and general dimension-hopping MCMC methodology that can update all the parameters as well as the number of parameters simultaneously using simple deterministic transformations of some low-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Moumita Das , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We propose a novel nonparametric approach for linking covariates to Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMCs) using the mathematical framework of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS). CTMCs provide a robust framework for modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Yuchen Han , Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra

Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) proposals that achieve reasonable acceptance rates and mixing are notoriously difficult to design in most applications. Inspired by recent advances in deep neural network-based normalizing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-28 Laurence Davies , Robert Salomone , Matthew Sutton , Christopher Drovandi

We investigate the increase in efficiency of simulated and parallel tempering MCMC algorithms when using non-reversible updates to give them "momentum". By making a connection to a certain simple discrete Markov chain, we show that, under…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This paper presents a Markov-based system model for microfluidic molecular communication (MC) channels. By discretizing the advection-diffusion dynamics, the proposed model establishes a physically consistent state-space formulation. The…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Ruifeng Zheng , Pengjie Zhou , Pit Hofmann , Fatima Rani , Juan A. Cabrera , Frank H. P. Fitzek

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

Markovian models of turbulence can be derived from the renormalized statistical closure equations of the direct-interaction approximation (DIA). Various simplifications are often introduced, including an assumption that the two-time…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Gregory W. Hammett , John C. Bowman

Thermal radiative transfer (TRT) is an essential piece of physics in inertial confinement fusion, high-energy density physics, astrophysics etc. The physical models of this type of problem are defined by strongly coupled differential…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-06 Dmitriy Y. Anistratov , Terry S. Haut

We propose a new flexible tensor model for multiple-equation regression that accounts for latent regime changes. The model allows for dynamic coefficients and multi-dimensional covariates that vary across equations. We assume the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang