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We provide a conceptual map to navigate causal analysis problems. Focusing on the case of discrete random variables, we consider the case of causal effect estimation from observational data. The presented approaches apply also to continuous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-06 Finnian Lattimore , Cheng Soon Ong

Causal discovery from i.i.d. observational data is known to be generally ill-posed. We demonstrate that if we have access to the distribution {induced} by a structural causal model, and additional data from (in the best case) \textit{only…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Francesco Montagna

Effective and reliable evaluation is essential for advancing empirical machine learning. However, the increasing accessibility of generalist models and the progress towards ever more complex, high-level tasks make systematic evaluation more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Felix Leeb , Zhijing Jin , Bernhard Schölkopf

Perhaps the most prominent current definition of (actual) causality is due to Halpern and Pearl. It is defined using causal models (also known as structural equations models). We abstract the definition, extracting its key features, so that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Joseph Y. Halpern , Rafael Pass

Causal deep learning (CDL) is a new and important research area in the larger field of machine learning. With CDL, researchers aim to structure and encode causal knowledge in the extremely flexible representation space of deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-05 Jeroen Berrevoets , Krzysztof Kacprzyk , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

We examine the role of textual data as study units when conducting causal inference by drawing parallels between human subjects and organized texts. %in human population research. We elaborate on key causal concepts and principles, and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-03 Bo Zhang , Jiayao Zhang

Recent years have witnessed the rapid growth of machine learning in a wide range of fields such as image recognition, text classification, credit scoring prediction, recommendation system, etc. In spite of their great performance in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-20 Guandong Xu , Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Shaowu Liu , Xianzhi Wang

This paper proposes an approach facilitating co-design of causal graphs between subject matter experts and statistical modellers. Modern causal analysis starting with formulation of causal graphs provides benefits for robust analysis and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-02 Eli Y. Kling

We present a definition of cause and effect in terms of decision-theoretic primitives and thereby provide a principled foundation for causal reasoning. Our definition departs from the traditional view of causation in that causal assertions…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-11-17 D. Heckerman , R. Shachter

Multivariate methods that relate outcomes to risk factors have been adopted clinically to individualize treatment. This has promoted the belief that individuals have a true or unique risk. The logic of assigning an individual a single risk…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2010-01-15 Ralph H. Stern

Meta-analysis, by synthesizing effect estimates from multiple studies conducted in diverse settings, stands at the top of the evidence hierarchy in clinical research. Yet, conventional approaches based on fixed- or random-effects models…

This paper provides a critical review of the Bayesian perspective of causal inference based on the potential outcomes framework. We review the causal estimands, identification assumptions, the general structure of Bayesian inference of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Fan Li , Peng Ding , Fabrizia Mealli

Causal inference is the process of estimating the effect or impact of a treatment on an outcome with other covariates as potential confounders (and mediators) that may need to be controlled. The vast majority of existing methods and systems…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-05-05 Arun S. Maiya

Perception occurs when individuals interpret the same information differently. It is a known cognitive phenomenon with implications for bias in human decision-making. Perception, however, remains understudied in machine learning (ML). This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Jose M. Alvarez , Salvatore Ruggieri

We propose a method to classify the causal relationship between two discrete variables given only the joint distribution of the variables, acknowledging that the method is subject to an inherent baseline error. We assume that the causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-07 Krzysztof Chalupka , Frederick Eberhardt , Pietro Perona

Causal graphs may inform covariate adjustment for estimating causal effects and improve estimation efficiency by exploiting the graphical structure. In many applications, however, the target causal parameter may not be point-identified due…

Whether a variable is the cause of another, or simply associated with it, is often an important scientific question. Causal Inference is the name associated with the body of techniques for addressing that question in a statistical setting.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-25 Caren Marzban , Yikun Zhang , Nicholas Bond , Michael Richman

Causal learning is a beneficial approach to analyze the cause and effect relationships among variables in a dataset. A causal graph can be generated from a dataset using a particular causal algorithm, for instance, the PC algorithm or Fast…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-09 Teny Handhayani , James Cussens

Despite the essential need for comprehensive considerations in responsible AI, factors like robustness, fairness, and causality are often studied in isolation. Adversarial perturbation, used to identify vulnerabilities in models, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Ahmad-Reza Ehyaei , Golnoosh Farnadi , Samira Samadi

Causal inference, as a major research area in statistics and data science, plays a central role across diverse fields such as medicine, economics, education, and the social sciences. Design-based causal inference begins with randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Xin Lu , Wanjia Fu , Hongzi Li , Haoyang Yu , Honghao Zhang , Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu