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Causality represents the foremost relation between events in financial documents such as financial news articles, financial reports. Each financial causality contains a cause span and an effect span. Previous works proposed sequence…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Tapas Nayak , Soumya Sharma , Yash Butala , Koustuv Dasgupta , Pawan Goyal , Niloy Ganguly

The assumption that data samples are independent and identically distributed (iid) is standard in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, in some settings, such as social networks, infectious disease modeling, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-06 Eli Sherman , Ilya Shpitser

Identifying causal parameters from observational data is fraught with subtleties due to the issues of selection bias and confounding. In addition, more complex questions of interest, such as effects of treatment on the treated and mediated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Ilya Shpitser , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causality has the potential to truly transform the way we solve a large number of real-world problems. Yet, so far, its potential largely remains to be unlocked as causality often requires crucial assumptions which cannot be tested in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Jeroen Berrevoets , Krzysztof Kacprzyk , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Using causal relations to guide decision making has become an essential analytical task across various domains, from marketing and medicine to education and social science. While powerful statistical models have been developed for inferring…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2020-09-08 Xiao Xie , Fan Du , Yingcai Wu

Modeling causal relationships in graph representation learning remains a fundamental challenge. Existing approaches often draw on theories and methods from causal inference to identify causal subgraphs or mitigate confounders. However, due…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Hang Gao , Kunyu Li , Huang Hong , Baoquan Cui , Fengge Wu

The problem of causal inference is to determine if a given probability distribution on observed variables is compatible with some causal structure. The difficult case is when the causal structure includes latent variables. We here introduce…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-07-24 Elie Wolfe , Robert W. Spekkens , Tobias Fritz

We study the identification of causal effects in the presence of different types of constraints (e.g., logical constraints) in addition to the causal graph. These constraints impose restrictions on the models (parameterizations) induced by…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Yizuo Chen , Adnan Darwiche

The research questions that motivate transportation safety studies are causal in nature. Safety researchers typically use observational data to answer such questions, but often without appropriate causal inference methodology. The field of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-07-26 Vishesh Karwa , Aleksandra B. Slavković , Eric T. Donnell

Probabilistic graphical models are a fundamental tool in statistics, machine learning, signal processing, and control. When such a model is defined on a directed acyclic graph (DAG), one can assign a partial ordering to the events occurring…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2011-10-05 Maxim Raginsky

Probabilistic machine learning models are often insufficient to help with decisions on interventions because those models find correlations - not causal relationships. If observational data is only available and experimentation are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-13 Marios Papamichalis , Abhishek Ray , Ilias Bilionis , Karthik Kannan , Rajiv Krishnamurthy

Causal inference plays an important role in explanatory analysis and decision making across various fields like statistics, marketing, health care, and education. Its main task is to estimate treatment effects and make intervention…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Yingrong Wang , Haoxuan Li , Minqin Zhu , Anpeng Wu , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu , Kun Kuang

When domain knowledge is limited and experimentation is restricted by ethical, financial, or time constraints, practitioners turn to observational causal discovery methods to recover the causal structure, exploiting the statistical…

Background: Causal relations in natural language (NL) requirements convey strong, semantic information. Automatically extracting such causal information enables multiple use cases, such as test case generation, but it also requires to…

Healthcare artificial intelligence systems often degrade in performance when deployed across institutions, with documented performance drops and perpetuation of discriminatory patterns embedded in data. This brittleness comes, in part, from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Munib Mesinovic , Max Buhlan , Tingting Zhu

Causal discovery procedures aim to deduce causal relationships among variables in a multivariate dataset. While various methods have been proposed for estimating a single causal model or a single equivalence class of models, less attention…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Y. Samuel Wang , Mladen Kolar , Mathias Drton

There is a brief description of the probabilistic causal graph model for representing, reasoning with, and learning causal structure using Bayesian networks. It is then argued that this model is closely related to how humans reason with and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Scott B. Morris , Doug Cork , Richard E. Neapolitan

Causality is pivotal to our understanding of the world, presenting itself in different forms: information-theoretic and relativistic, the former linked to the flow of information, the latter to the structure of space-time. Leveraging a…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2026-04-13 Maarten Grothus , V. Vilasini

Causal discovery methods seek to identify causal relations between random variables from purely observational data, as opposed to actively collected experimental data where an experimenter intervenes on a subset of correlates. One of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-08 Samir Wadhwa , Roy Dong

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) has helped elucidate the internal mechanisms of machine learning algorithms, bolstering their reliability by demonstrating the basis of their predictions. Several XAI models consider causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Daisuke Takahashi , Shohei Shimizu , Takuma Tanaka