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The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is frequently estimated to refute the homogeneous treatment effect assumption. Under this assumption, all units making up the population under study experience identical benefit from a given…

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

In this paper we consider trajectory tracking problem for robotic systems affected by unknown external perturbations. Considering possible solutions, we restrict our attention to composite adaptation, which, particularly, ensures parametric…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-01 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

Propensity score methods have been shown to be powerful in obtaining efficient estimators of average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data, especially under the existence of confounding factors. When estimating, deciding which type…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-14 Kangjie Zhou , Jinzhu Jia

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) frequently utilize covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) (e.g., stratified block randomization) and commonly suffer from imperfect compliance. This paper studies the identification and inference for the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-02 Federico A. Bugni , Mengsi Gao , Filip Obradovic , Amilcar Velez

Estimation of individualized treatment effects (ITE), also known as conditional average treatment effects (CATE), is an active area of methodology development. However, much less attention has been paid to the quantification of uncertainty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Daijiro Kabata , Nicholas C. Henderson , Ravi Varadhan

Understanding causality should be a core requirement of any attempt to build real impact through AI. Due to the inherent unobservability of counterfactuals, large randomised trials (RCTs) are the standard for causal inference. But large…

We consider the task of discovering gene regulatory networks, which are defined as sets of genes and the corresponding transcription factors which regulate their expression levels. This can be viewed as a variable selection problem,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-04 Justin Bleich , Adam Kapelner , Edward I. George , Shane T. Jensen

Observed events in recommendation are consequence of the decisions made by a policy, thus they are usually selectively labeled, namely the data are Missing Not At Random (MNAR), which often causes large bias to the estimate of true outcomes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Zifeng Wang , Xi Chen , Rui Wen , Shao-Lun Huang

Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a core problem in causal inference with strong connections to Off-Policy Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning. This paper considers the problem of adaptively selecting the treatment…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-22 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Multi-modal models have shown a promising capability to effectively integrate information from various sources, yet meanwhile, they are found vulnerable to pervasive perturbations, such as uni-modal attacks and missing conditions. To…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Zequn Yang , Yake Wei , Ce Liang , Di Hu

This paper introduces the sequential CRT, which is a variable selection procedure that combines the conditional randomization test (CRT) and Selective SeqStep+. Valid p-values are constructed via the flexible CRT, which are then ordered and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-08 Shuangning Li , Emmanuel J. Candès

Causal machine learning holds promise for estimating individual treatment effects from complex data. For successful real-world applications of machine learning methods, it is of paramount importance to obtain reliable insights into which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Joseph Paillard , Angel Reyero Lobo , Vitaliy Kolodyazhniy , Bertrand Thirion , Denis A. Engemann

Doubly robust estimators (DRE) are widely used in causal inference because they yield consistent estimators of average causal effect when at least one of the nuisance models, the propensity for treatment (exposure) or the outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Hao Wu , Lucy Shao , Toni Gui , Tsungchin Wu , Zhuochao Huang , Shengjia Tu , Xin Tu , Jinyuan Liu , Tuo Lin

Covariate adjustment is a ubiquitous method used to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data. Assuming a known graphical structure of the data generating model, recent results give graphical criteria for optimal…

The Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) approach robustly estimates the location and scatter matrix using the subset of given size with lowest sample covariance determinant. Its main drawback is that it cannot be applied when the dimension…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-13 Kris Boudt , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Steven Vanduffel , Tim Verdonck

We propose a new estimation method for heterogeneous causal effects which utilizes a regression discontinuity (RD) design for multiple datasets with different thresholds. The standard RD design is frequently used in applied researches, but…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-14 Takayuki Toda , Ayako Wakano , Takahiro Hoshino

Across research disciplines, cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are commonly implemented to evaluate interventions delivered to groups of participants, such as communities and clinics. Despite advances in the design and analysis of CRTs,…

Progressive multi-state survival outcomes are common in trials with recurrent or sequential events and require treatment effect estimands that remain interpretable without proportional intensity or Markov assumptions. The restricted mean…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Xi Fang , Bingkai Wang , Guangyu Tong , Liangyuan Hu , Shuangge Ma , Fan Li
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